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WON Tip WON Malta W 0-3 Turkey W
M

Malta W

Home
L L L L L
1W 1D 8L ▼ Declining
VS
0-3
T
Turkey W
Away
W D L W W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Selection
2
Backing Turkey W to win
Malta W 20%
Draw 20%
Turkey W 60%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds1.67
Implied Prob88.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-15.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #1E12EEC4
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 9 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Turkey W to win
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals80% Turkey W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Malta W vs Turkey W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Pick: 2 (Turkey W to win) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 73% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Turkey W Clean Sheet (60%) Ticket #1E12EEC4
Head to Head
Record
0
Malta W
0
Draws
4
Turkey W
4
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Turkey W won 4 of 4 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Malta W
Metric
Turkey W
0.7
Goals For / Game
1.9
2.9
Goals Against / Game
0.6
10%
Clean Sheets
60%
1-1-8
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
10%
70%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
M0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 11.4%
0-2 13.6%
0-3 10.9%
0-4 6.6%
0-5 3.1%
M1
1-0 3.1%
1-1 7.4%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 7.1%
1-4 4.3%
1-5 2.0%
M2
2-0 1.0%
2-1 2.4%
2-2 2.9%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.7%
M3
3-0 0.2%
3-1 0.5%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(13.6%) 0-1(11.4%) 0-3(10.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Malta W Win
20%
5
Draw
20%
5
Turkey W Win
60%
1.67
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Malta W
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
0.3
Turkey W
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 7%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 44%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Turkey W3
Malta0
17.01.20FI
Malta W1
Turkey2
11.04.10WC
Turkey W5
Malta1
27.03.10WC
Malta W0
Turkey2
Recent Form
Malta W
05.06.26WC
Switzerland W6
Malta W1
L
18.04.26WC
Malta W2
Northern Ireland W4
L
14.04.26WC
Northern Ireland W4
Malta W0
L
07.03.26WC
Malta W1
Switzerland W4
L
03.03.26WC
Turkey W3
Malta W0
L
01.12.25FI
Malta W0
Croatia W3
L
28.11.25FI
Malta W3
Croatia W2
W
28.10.25FI
Malta W0
Belarus W1
L
25.10.25FI
Malta W0
Belarus W2
L
03.06.25UNL
Andorra W0
Malta W0
D
Turkey W
05.06.26WC
Turkey W2
Northern Ireland W1
W
18.04.26WC
Turkey W1
Switzerland W1
D
14.04.26WC
Switzerland W3
Turkey W1
L
07.03.26WC
Northern Ireland W0
Turkey W1
W
03.03.26WC
Turkey W3
Malta W0
W
01.12.25FI
Turkey W2
Albania W0
W
28.11.25FI
Turkey W1
Albania W1
D
28.10.25UNL
Turkey W3
Kosovo W0
W
24.10.25UNL
Kosovo W0
Turkey W4
W
03.06.25UNL
Greece W0
Turkey W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Euro WCQ Women fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.13 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 9 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Malta W vs Turkey W?
Our selection is 2 — Turkey W to win, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Malta W's current form?
Malta W have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Turkey W been performing recently?
Turkey W have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Malta W lead with 0 wins versus Turkey W's 4, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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