×
WON Tip WON Croatia W 4-0 Bulgaria W
C

Croatia W

Home
W W W L W
7W 0D 3L → Steady
VS
4-0
B
Bulgaria W
Away
W L L W L
2W 3D 5L → Steady
Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Croatia W to win
Croatia W 60%
Draw 20%
Bulgaria W 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob84.7%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-14.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #C5C889B3
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 9 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Croatia W to win
1.18
Croatia W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Croatia W vs Bulgaria W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Croatia W to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 70% Also: Croatia W Clean Sheet (60%) Ticket #C5C889B3
Head to Head
Record
2
Croatia W
0
Draws
0
Bulgaria W
2
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Croatia W won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Croatia W
Metric
Bulgaria W
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-0-3
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
C0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Croatia W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Bulgaria W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Croatia W
Overall
7.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.3
Bulgaria W
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Bulgaria W0
Croatia1
17.06.19FI
Bulgaria W1
Croatia3
Recent Form
Croatia W
05.06.26WC
Kosovo W0
Croatia W1
W
18.04.26WC
Croatia W9
Gibraltar W0
W
14.04.26WC
Gibraltar W0
Croatia W1
W
07.03.26WC
Croatia W0
Kosovo W1
L
03.03.26WC
Bulgaria W0
Croatia W1
W
01.12.25FI
Malta W0
Croatia W3
W
28.11.25FI
Malta W3
Croatia W2
L
27.10.25FI
Croatia W2
Montenegro W1
W
24.10.25FI
Croatia W1
Montenegro W3
L
03.06.25UNL
Croatia W2
Ukraine W0
W
Bulgaria W
05.06.26WC
Bulgaria W3
Gibraltar W1
W
18.04.26WC
Kosovo W2
Bulgaria W1
L
14.04.26WC
Bulgaria W1
Kosovo W3
L
07.03.26WC
Gibraltar W0
Bulgaria W5
W
03.03.26WC
Bulgaria W0
Croatia W1
L
03.06.25UNL
Bulgaria W0
Estonia W1
L
08.04.25UNL
Israel W3
Bulgaria W3
D
04.04.25UNL
Estonia W0
Bulgaria W0
D
21.02.25UNL
Bulgaria W1
Israel W3
L
16.07.24EUR
Bulgaria W0
Kazakhstan W0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Euro WCQ Women fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.18 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 9 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Croatia W vs Bulgaria W?
Our selection is 1 — Croatia W to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Croatia W's current form?
Croatia W have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bulgaria W been performing recently?
Bulgaria W have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Croatia W lead with 2 wins versus Bulgaria W's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. BettingProfessional1x2 provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.