×
WON Tip WON Serbia W 1-4 Denmark W
S

Serbia W

Home
L L L D L
3W 1D 6L ▼ Declining
VS
1-4
D
Denmark W
Away
W D W D W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Selection
2
Backing Denmark W to win
Serbia W 20%
Draw 30%
Denmark W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob82%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-29%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #9624CA41
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 9 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Denmark W to win
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Serbia W vs Denmark W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Pick: 2 (Denmark W to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 53% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Ticket #9624CA41
Head to Head
Record
0
Serbia W
1
Draws
2
Denmark W
3
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Denmark W won 2 of 3 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Serbia W
Metric
Denmark W
0.9
Goals For / Game
1.9
2.2
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-1-6
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
30%
50%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
S0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 10.2%
0-2 10.5%
0-3 7.2%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.5%
S1
1-0 4.7%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.8%
1-4 3.5%
1-5 1.4%
S2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 4.6%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.7%
S3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(10.5%) 0-1(10.2%) 1-2(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Serbia W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Denmark W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Serbia W
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.7
Denmark W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Denmark W3
Serbia1
08.05.14WC
Denmark W3
Serbia1
26.10.13WC
Serbia W1
Denmark1
Recent Form
Serbia W
05.06.26WC
Italy W3
Serbia W0
L
18.04.26WC
Sweden W1
Serbia W0
L
14.04.26WC
Serbia W0
Italy W6
L
07.03.26WC
Serbia W0
Sweden W0
D
03.03.26WC
Denmark W3
Serbia W1
L
02.12.25FI
Serbia W2
Czech Republic W1
W
28.11.25FI
Czech Republic W0
Serbia W1
W
27.10.25FI
Slovenia W2
Serbia W4
W
01.07.25FI
Serbia W0
Russia W3
L
27.06.25FI
Serbia W1
Iceland W3
L
Denmark W
05.06.26WC
Denmark W2
Sweden W1
W
18.04.26WC
Denmark W0
Italy W0
D
14.04.26WC
Sweden W1
Denmark W2
W
07.03.26WC
Italy W1
Denmark W1
D
03.03.26WC
Denmark W3
Serbia W1
W
01.12.25FI
Denmark W0
Norway W0
D
28.10.25UNL
Denmark W2
Finland W0
W
24.10.25UNL
Finland W1
Denmark W6
W
12.07.25EUR
Poland W3
Denmark W2
L
08.07.25EUR
Germany W2
Denmark W1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Euro WCQ Women fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.22 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 9 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Serbia W vs Denmark W?
Our selection is 2 — Denmark W to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Serbia W's current form?
Serbia W have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Denmark W been performing recently?
Denmark W have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Serbia W lead with 0 wins versus Denmark W's 2, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. BettingProfessional1x2 provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.