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LOST Tip LOST Unterhaching 2-0 Regensburg
U

Unterhaching

Home
W L L W W
6W 0D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
10:00 am
N/A
R
Regensburg
Away
D W L L W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
Thursday, 9th July 2026 Selection
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob70.4%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+9.6%Value detected
Kelly %32.4%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #1CC7A6E0
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 10 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Unterhaching vs Regensburg Competition: Club Friendly Date: Thursday, 9th July 2026 KO: 10:00 am Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 80% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Ticket #1CC7A6E0
Head to Head
Record
1
Unterhaching
1
Draws
8
Regensburg
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Unterhaching
Metric
Regensburg
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-0-4
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
60%
40%
3.4
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
U0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 5.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
U1
1-0 6.7%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
U2
2-0 6.3%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
U3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
U4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
U5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(9.7%) 2-1(9.2%) 1-2(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip U=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Unterhaching
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.3
Regensburg
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.07.25CF
Regensburg1
Unterhaching2
11.01.25CF
Unterhaching1
Regensburg4
05.09.24CF
Regensburg5
Unterhaching1
08.01.24CF
Regensburg3
Unterhaching1
19.12.233LIG
Unterhaching1
Regensburg2
05.08.233LIG
Regensburg1
Unterhaching1
14.11.19CF
Unterhaching3
Regensburg4
21.07.18CF
Regensburg1
Unterhaching0
22.11.15RL
Regensburg2
Unterhaching1
25.07.15RL
Unterhaching0
Regensburg2
Recent Form
Unterhaching
16.05.26RL
Unterhaching4
Burghausen0
W
09.05.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers4
Unterhaching0
L
02.05.26RL
Unterhaching1
Memmingen2
L
24.04.26RL
Bayreuth2
Unterhaching3
W
21.04.26RL
Unterhaching3
Hankofen-Hailing0
W
18.04.26RL
Furth II1
Unterhaching2
W
11.04.26RL
Unterhaching5
Schwaben Augsburg0
W
06.04.26RL
Aschaffenburg0
Unterhaching3
W
02.04.26RL
Unterhaching0
Buchbach1
L
24.03.26RL
Ansbach1
Unterhaching0
L
Regensburg
06.07.26CF
FC Schwaig2
Regensburg2
D
03.07.26CF
Ried2
Regensburg4
W
16.05.263LIG
Regensburg0
Cottbus1
L
09.05.263LIG
Mannheim1
Regensburg0
L
02.05.263LIG
Regensburg2
Hoffenheim II1
W
25.04.263LIG
Hansa Rostock2
Regensburg5
W
17.04.263LIG
Regensburg1
Alemannia Aachen3
L
12.04.263LIG
Munich 18602
Regensburg2
D
07.04.263LIG
Regensburg1
Aue0
W
04.04.263LIG
Stuttgart II3
Regensburg1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 9th July 2026, Unterhaching host Regensburg at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Unterhaching arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Regensburg are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Unterhaching, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Regensburg's 8, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Club Friendly game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is Over 2.5 at @1.42, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 90%. Kick-off is 10:00 am.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

 

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 10 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Unterhaching vs Regensburg?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Unterhaching's current form?
Unterhaching have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Regensburg been performing recently?
Regensburg have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Unterhaching lead with 1 wins versus Regensburg's 8, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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