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WON Tip WON Independiente W 1-3 Racing Club W
I

Independiente W

Home
L L L L W
3W 1D 6L ▼ Declining
VS
1-3
7:00 pm
N/A
R
Racing Club W
Away
W D W W W
7W 2D 1L → Steady
Thursday, 9th July 2026 Selection
2
Backing Racing Club W to win
Independiente W 20%
Draw 30%
Racing Club W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob76.3%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-20.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #15E4C958
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 10 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Racing Club W to win
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No65% Racing Club W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Independiente W vs Racing Club W Competition: Argentina Primera Women Date: Thursday, 9th July 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 2 (Racing Club W to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 56% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Racing Club W Clean Sheet (60%) Ticket #15E4C958
Head to Head
Record
1
Independiente W
2
Draws
3
Racing Club W
6
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Neutral Racing Club W won 3 of 6 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Independiente W
Metric
Racing Club W
0.7
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.5
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
3-1-6
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
30%
70%
2.4
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
I0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 16.7%
0-2 14.6%
0-3 8.5%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.3%
I1
1-0 5.7%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 8.8%
1-3 5.1%
1-4 2.2%
1-5 0.8%
I2
2-0 1.7%
2-1 3.0%
2-2 2.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
I3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.6%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(16.7%) 0-2(14.6%) 1-2(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Independiente W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Racing Club W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Independiente W
Overall
3.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.7
Racing Club W
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 40%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 40%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.04.25PA
Independiente W1
Racing Club1
21.11.24PA
Racing Club W1
Independiente1
07.07.24PA
Independiente W0
Racing Club4
15.09.23PA
Racing Club W3
Independiente1
12.06.23PA
Independiente W2
Racing Club0
29.04.22PA
Independiente W0
Racing Club1
Recent Form
Independiente W
04.07.26PA
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
L
26.06.26PA
Independiente W1
Talleres Cordoba W3
L
20.06.26PA
Ferro W6
Independiente W1
L
15.06.26PA
Independiente W0
Boca Juniors W1
L
23.05.26PA
Lanus W0
Independiente W1
W
15.05.26PA
Independiente W1
San Luis W0
W
09.05.26PA
Union de Santa Fe W2
Independiente W2
D
02.05.26PA
Social Atletico Television W0
Independiente W1
W
26.04.26PA
Independiente W0
Huracan W1
L
28.03.26PA
Belgrano W1
Independiente W0
L
Racing Club W
04.07.26PA
Racing Club W2
Huracan W0
W
26.06.26PA
Belgrano W0
Racing Club W0
D
21.06.26PA
Racing Club W3
River Plate W1
W
15.06.26PA
Banfield W0
Racing Club W4
W
23.05.26PA
Racing Club W4
Gimnasia L.P. W1
W
15.05.26PA
Newells Old Boys W0
Racing Club W1
W
08.05.26PA
Racing Club W1
Social Atletico Television W2
L
03.05.26PA
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
W
27.04.26PA
Talleres Cordoba W1
Racing Club W1
D
29.03.26PA
Racing Club W2
Ferro W0
W
Independiente W (Home)
26.06.26PA
Independiente W1
Talleres Cordoba W3
L
15.06.26PA
Independiente W0
Boca Juniors W1
L
15.05.26PA
Independiente W1
San Luis W0
W
26.04.26PA
Independiente W0
Huracan W1
L
20.03.26PA
Independiente W0
River Plate W2
L
22.09.25PA
Independiente W1
Belgrano W4
L
14.09.25PA
Independiente W1
Newells Old Boys W0
W
24.08.25PA
Independiente W1
Huracan W1
D
08.08.25PA
Independiente W0
Social Atletico Television W3
L
19.05.25PA
Independiente W1
River Plate W3
L
Racing Club W (Away)
26.06.26PA
Belgrano W0
Racing Club W0
D
15.06.26PA
Banfield W0
Racing Club W4
W
15.05.26PA
Newells Old Boys W0
Racing Club W1
W
27.04.26PA
Talleres Cordoba W1
Racing Club W1
D
20.03.26PA
Boca Juniors W2
Racing Club W3
W
15.12.25PA
Belgrano W2
Racing Club W0
L
06.12.25PA
Boca Juniors W0
Racing Club W1
W
14.11.25PA
San Lorenzo W0
Racing Club W1
W
23.09.25PA
River Plate W0
Racing Club W0
D
08.09.25PA
Velez Sarsfield W1
Racing Club W1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 9th July 2026, Independiente W host Racing Club W at N/A in Argentina Primera Women. We recommend Racing Club W to win as the standout selection.

Independiente W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Racing Club W are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Independiente W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Racing Club W's 3, with 2 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: racing club w to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Argentina Primera Women game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 2 at @1.31, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 20,30,50%. Kick-off is 7:00 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

 

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 10 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Independiente W vs Racing Club W?
Our selection is 2 — Racing Club W to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Independiente W's current form?
Independiente W have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Racing Club W been performing recently?
Racing Club W have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Independiente W lead with 1 wins versus Racing Club W's 3, with 2 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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