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Z

Zhenis Astana W

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W W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
4:00 pm
N/A
Y
Yelimay Semey W
Away
L W L W D
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
Monday, 27th July 2026 Selection
1
Backing Zhenis Astana W to win
Zhenis Astana W 50%
Draw 30%
Yelimay Semey W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob85.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-28.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #957B71CE
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 27 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Zhenis Astana W to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals90% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W Competition: Kazakhstan Women League Date: Monday, 27th July 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Zhenis Astana W to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (90%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Ticket #957B71CE
Head to Head
Record
1
Zhenis Astana W
1
Draws
0
Yelimay Semey W
2
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Zhenis Astana W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zhenis Astana W
Metric
Yelimay Semey W
5
Goals For / Game
2.1
2.2
Goals Against / Game
2.3
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
70%
50%
5.8
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
90%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Z0
0-0 0.3%
0-1 0.7%
0-2 0.7%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
Z1
1-0 1.1%
1-1 2.4%
1-2 2.6%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.4%
Z2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 4.3%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.8%
Z3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 5.7%
3-3 4.1%
3-4 2.2%
3-5 0.9%
Z4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 4.8%
4-2 5.2%
4-3 3.7%
4-4 2.0%
4-5 0.9%
Z5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 3.5%
5-2 3.8%
5-3 2.7%
5-4 1.5%
5-5 0.6%
Top Scores 3-2(5.7%) 3-1(5.3%) 4-2(5.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Z=Home goals ↓   Y=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Zhenis Astana W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Yelimay Semey W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zhenis Astana W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
2.7
Yelimay Semey W
Overall
5.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 49%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 34%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.10.25LW
Zhenis Astana W2
Yelimay Semey2
07.07.25LW
Yelimay Semey W1
Zhenis Astana3
Recent Form
Zhenis Astana W
20.07.26LW
Altai W0
Zhenis Astana W8
W
13.07.26LW
Zhenis Astana W9
Shakhter Karagandy W0
W
06.07.26LW
Tobol W0
Zhenis Astana W4
W
23.06.26LW
Zhenis Astana W3
Tobol W0
W
15.06.26LW
Shakhter Karagandy W1
Zhenis Astana W10
W
09.06.26LW
Zhenis Astana W5
Altai W0
W
26.05.26LW
Zhenis Astana W2
Kyzylzhar W2
D
19.05.26LW
Zhenis Astana W5
FC Astana W1
W
12.05.26LW
Aktobe W13
Zhenis Astana W1
L
05.05.26LW
Zhenis Astana W7
Okzhetpes W1
W
Yelimay Semey W
20.07.26LW
Kyzylzhar W4
Yelimay Semey W0
L
14.07.26LW
Yelimay Semey W2
Altai W0
W
10.07.26LW
Yelimay Semey W0
Aktobe W6
L
07.07.26LW
Ertis Pavlodar W1
Yelimay Semey W3
W
23.06.26LW
Yelimay Semey W2
Ertis Pavlodar W2
D
16.06.26LW
Altai W1
Yelimay Semey W4
W
09.06.26LW
Yelimay Semey W1
Kyzylzhar W0
W
26.05.26LW
Aktobe W5
Yelimay Semey W0
L
19.05.26LW
Yelimay Semey W9
Okzhetpes W0
W
12.05.26LW
FC Astana W4
Yelimay Semey W0
L
Zhenis Astana W (Home)
13.07.26LW
Zhenis Astana W9
Shakhter Karagandy W0
W
23.06.26LW
Zhenis Astana W3
Tobol W0
W
09.06.26LW
Zhenis Astana W5
Altai W0
W
26.05.26LW
Zhenis Astana W2
Kyzylzhar W2
D
19.05.26LW
Zhenis Astana W5
FC Astana W1
W
05.05.26LW
Zhenis Astana W7
Okzhetpes W1
W
12.10.25LW
Zhenis Astana W0
Tobol W0
D
01.10.25LW
Zhenis Astana W2
Yelimay Semey2
W
13.09.25LW
Zhenis Astana W0
Shymkent W10
L
01.09.25LW
Zhenis Astana W3
Kyzylzhar W0
W
Yelimay Semey W (Away)
20.07.26LW
Kyzylzhar W4
Yelimay Semey W0
L
07.07.26LW
Ertis Pavlodar W1
Yelimay Semey W3
W
16.06.26LW
Altai W1
Yelimay Semey W4
W
26.05.26LW
Aktobe W5
Yelimay Semey W0
L
12.05.26LW
FC Astana W4
Yelimay Semey W0
L
28.04.26LW
Shakhter Karagandy W0
Yelimay Semey W7
W
12.10.25LW
Tomiris-Turan W4
Yelimay Semey W0
L
01.10.25LW
Zhenis Astana W2
Yelimay Semey2
W
15.09.25LW
Zhetysu W1
Yelimay Semey W4
W
01.09.25LW
Okzhetpes W0
Yelimay Semey W11
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 27th July 2026, Zhenis Astana W host Yelimay Semey W at N/A in Kazakhstan Women League. We recommend Zhenis Astana W to win as the standout selection.

Zhenis Astana W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Yelimay Semey W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zhenis Astana W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Yelimay Semey W's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zhenis astana w to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Kazakhstan Women League game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 5 wins from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 1 at @1.17, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 4:00 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 27 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W?
Our selection is 1 — Zhenis Astana W to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Zhenis Astana W's current form?
Zhenis Astana W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Yelimay Semey W been performing recently?
Yelimay Semey W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zhenis Astana W lead with 1 wins versus Yelimay Semey W's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 5.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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