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Tukums 2000 2

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L W L L L
2W 1D 7L ▲ Improving
VS
4:30 pm
N/A
A
Alberts JDFS
Away
D W L W L
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
Monday, 3rd August 2026 Selection
2
Backing Alberts JDFS to win
Tukums 2000 2 30%
Draw 20%
Alberts JDFS 50%
H Fair Odds3.33
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob76.3%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-19.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #7DE2D696
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 3 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Alberts JDFS to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Tukums 2000 2 vs Alberts JDFS Competition: Latvia Nakotnes Liga Date: Monday, 3rd August 2026 KO: 4:30 pm Pick: 2 (Alberts JDFS to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ticket #7DE2D696
Head to Head
Record
0
Tukums 2000 2
2
Draws
7
Alberts JDFS
9
Meetings
4.8
Avg Goals
78%
BTTS
89%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Alberts JDFS won 7 of 9 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Tukums 2000 2
Metric
Alberts JDFS
1.2
Goals For / Game
2.4
3.2
Goals Against / Game
1.5
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
2-1-7
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
20%
50%
4.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
T0
0-0 1.6%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 6.2%
0-3 5.8%
0-4 4.0%
0-5 2.3%
T1
1-0 2.1%
1-1 6.0%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 7.8%
1-4 5.5%
1-5 3.1%
T2
2-0 1.4%
2-1 4.0%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 5.3%
2-4 3.7%
2-5 2.1%
T3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.7%
3-5 0.9%
T4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.3%
T5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.3%) 1-3(7.8%) 0-2(6.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Tukums 2000 2 Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Alberts JDFS Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Tukums 2000 2
Overall
2.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
0.0
Alberts JDFS
Overall
5.6
Scoring
8.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 41%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.05.26NL
Alberts JDFS6
Tukums 2000 21
25.10.25NL
Alberts JDFS4
Tukums 2000 23
29.06.25NL
Tukums 2000 21
Alberts JDFS2
19.10.24NL
Alberts JDFS4
Tukums 2000 21
30.06.24NL
Tukums 2000 21
Alberts JDFS4
01.11.23NL
Tukums 2000 22
Alberts JDFS2
23.04.23NL
Alberts JDFS3
Tukums 2000 23
29.10.22NL
Tukums 2000 20
Alberts JDFS5
17.07.22NL
Alberts JDFS1
Tukums 2000 20
Recent Form
Tukums 2000 2
27.07.26NL
Metta9
Tukums 2000 20
L
20.07.26NL
Tukums 2000 22
RFS 20
W
04.07.26NL
Riga FC 22
Tukums 2000 20
L
27.06.26NL
Super Nova 23
Tukums 2000 21
L
14.06.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
Valmiera4
L
31.05.26NL
Alberts JDFS6
Tukums 2000 21
L
24.05.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
FK Smiltene1
D
16.05.26NL
Rezekne1
Tukums 2000 24
W
09.05.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
Marupe2
L
02.05.26NL
Leevon PPK4
Tukums 2000 21
L
Alberts JDFS
25.07.26NL
Alberts JDFS1
Super Nova 21
D
18.07.26NL
JFK Ventspils1
Alberts JDFS3
W
04.07.26NL
Alberts JDFS0
Riga Mariners4
L
27.06.26NL
Rezekne2
Alberts JDFS4
W
20.06.26LC
Riga Mariners1
Alberts JDFS0
L
13.06.26NL
Alberts JDFS0
Leevon PPK0
D
31.05.26NL
Alberts JDFS6
Tukums 2000 21
W
27.05.26LC
Iecava0
Alberts JDFS5
W
24.05.26NL
Alberts JDFS4
Skanste1
W
16.05.26NL
Metta4
Alberts JDFS1
L
Tukums 2000 2 (Home)
20.07.26NL
Tukums 2000 22
RFS 20
W
14.06.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
Valmiera4
L
24.05.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
FK Smiltene1
D
09.05.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
Marupe2
L
27.04.26NL
Tukums 2000 22
Skanste0
W
11.04.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
Riga Mariners3
L
21.03.26NL
Tukums 2000 21
Metta3
L
01.11.25NL
Tukums 2000 22
Riga FC 21
W
20.10.25NL
Tukums 2000 22
RFS 22
D
26.09.25NL
Tukums 2000 20
Riga Mariners4
L
Alberts JDFS (Away)
18.07.26NL
JFK Ventspils1
Alberts JDFS3
W
27.06.26NL
Rezekne2
Alberts JDFS4
W
20.06.26LC
Riga Mariners1
Alberts JDFS0
L
27.05.26LC
Iecava0
Alberts JDFS5
W
16.05.26NL
Metta4
Alberts JDFS1
L
09.05.26NL
Valmiera1
Alberts JDFS1
D
03.05.26NL
FK Smiltene2
Alberts JDFS3
W
10.04.26NL
Riga FC 22
Alberts JDFS1
L
20.03.26NL
Super Nova 22
Alberts JDFS1
L
20.11.25VIR
Grobina0
Alberts JDFS0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Tukums 2000 2 host Alberts JDFS at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes Liga. We recommend Alberts JDFS to win as the standout selection.

Tukums 2000 2 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Alberts JDFS are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Tukums 2000 2, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Alberts JDFS's 7, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 78% of those meetings.

Our verdict: alberts jdfs to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Latvia Nakotnes Liga game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 2 at @1.31, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 30,20,50%. Kick-off is 4:30 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 3 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Tukums 2000 2 vs Alberts JDFS?
Our selection is 2 — Alberts JDFS to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Tukums 2000 2's current form?
Tukums 2000 2 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Alberts JDFS been performing recently?
Alberts JDFS have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tukums 2000 2 lead with 0 wins versus Alberts JDFS's 7, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 78%.
⚠️
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