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WON Tip WON Oran 1-0 ASO Chlef
O

Oran

Home
W L W W W
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
1-0
A
ASO Chlef
Away
W L W L W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
Thursday, 7th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Oran to win
Oran 50%
Draw 30%
ASO Chlef 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob71.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-25.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #4874E1F3
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 7 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Oran
5
Draws
4
ASO Chlef
10
Meetings
1.2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
10%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Oran won 1 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Oran
Metric
ASO Chlef
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
70%
50%
2.1
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
O0
0-0 12.9%
0-1 12.2%
0-2 5.8%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
O1
1-0 14.2%
1-1 13.5%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
O2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 3.5%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
O3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.2%) 2-0(7.8%) 2-1(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Oran Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
ASO Chlef Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Oran
Overall
7.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.7
ASO Chlef
Overall
5.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.12.25DIV
ASO Chlef1
Oran0
25.02.25DIV
ASO Chlef1
Oran0
04.10.24DIV
Oran0
ASO Chlef0
09.02.24DIV
Oran1
ASO Chlef1
15.09.23DIV
ASO Chlef2
Oran0
11.03.23DIV
ASO Chlef2
Oran1
17.09.22DIV
Oran0
ASO Chlef0
07.05.22DIV
ASO Chlef1
Oran1
07.01.22DIV
Oran1
ASO Chlef0
01.07.21DIV
ASO Chlef0
Oran0
Recent Form
Oran
29.04.26DIV
Kabylie1
Oran2
W
17.04.26DIV
ES Setif3
Oran0
L
09.04.26DIV
Oran2
Rouisset1
W
03.04.26DIV
Constantine0
Oran1
W
17.03.26DIV
Oran2
El Bayadh0
W
13.03.26DIV
Saoura2
Oran0
L
06.03.26DIV
Oran2
Khenchela1
W
27.02.26DIV
Paradou1
Oran2
W
20.02.26DIV
Oran2
MC Alger1
W
07.02.26DIV
Mostaganem0
Oran0
D
ASO Chlef
17.04.26DIV
ASO Chlef1
Olympique Akbou0
W
10.04.26DIV
Ben Aknoun2
ASO Chlef1
L
05.04.26DIV
ASO Chlef2
USM Alger1
W
18.03.26DIV
CR Belouizdad2
ASO Chlef1
L
13.03.26DIV
ASO Chlef1
Mostaganem0
W
06.03.26DIV
ASO Chlef1
ES Setif0
W
28.02.26DIV
Rouisset1
ASO Chlef1
D
20.02.26DIV
ASO Chlef0
Constantine2
L
13.02.26DIV
El Bayadh0
ASO Chlef1
W
08.02.26DIV
ASO Chlef0
Saoura1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Algeria Ligue 1 fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.39 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 7 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Oran vs ASO Chlef?
Our selection is 1 — Oran to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is Oran's current form?
Oran have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has ASO Chlef been performing recently?
ASO Chlef have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Oran lead with 1 wins versus ASO Chlef's 4, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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