×
L

Leevon PPK

Home
W W L L L
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
5:00 pm
N/A
R
Rezekne
Away
L L D L L
1W 2D 7L ▼ Declining
Saturday, 1st August 2026 Selection
1
Backing Leevon PPK to win
Leevon PPK 50%
Draw 30%
Rezekne 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob82.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-16.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #312C2DFD
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 1 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Leevon PPK to win
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne Competition: Latvia Nakotnes Liga Date: Saturday, 1st August 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Leevon PPK to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (80%) Ticket #312C2DFD
Head to Head
Record
5
Leevon PPK
0
Draws
0
Rezekne
5
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Leevon PPK won 5 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Leevon PPK
Metric
Rezekne
2
Goals For / Game
1
1.8
Goals Against / Game
2.1
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
60%
10%
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
L0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
L2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
L3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
L4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.3%) 2-0(6.7%) 1-0(6.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Leevon PPK Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rezekne Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Leevon PPK
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
4.0
Rezekne
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 57%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 2%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 57%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 2%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.03.26NL
Rezekne0
Leevon PPK2
26.10.25NL
Rezekne1
Leevon PPK2
29.06.25NL
Leevon PPK6
Rezekne2
05.10.24NL
Rezekne0
Leevon PPK7
15.06.24NL
Leevon PPK4
Rezekne1
Recent Form
Leevon PPK
25.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Skanste1
W
18.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Riga Mariners1
W
10.07.26LC
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
L
05.07.26NL
Valmiera4
Leevon PPK1
L
28.06.26NL
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
L
20.06.26LC
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
W
13.06.26NL
Alberts JDFS0
Leevon PPK0
D
29.05.26LC
DSVK Traktors3
Leevon PPK5
W
23.05.26NL
Leevon PPK2
JFK Ventspils1
W
16.05.26NL
RFS 21
Leevon PPK2
W
Rezekne
25.07.26NL
Rezekne1
Marupe2
L
19.07.26NL
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne0
L
04.07.26NL
Rezekne1
JFK Ventspils1
D
27.06.26NL
Rezekne2
Alberts JDFS4
L
14.06.26NL
RFS 23
Rezekne0
L
30.05.26LC
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
L
23.05.26NL
Rezekne2
Riga FC 21
W
16.05.26NL
Rezekne1
Tukums 2000 24
L
09.05.26NL
Super Nova 21
Rezekne0
L
02.05.26NL
Rezekne2
Riga Mariners2
D
Leevon PPK (Home)
25.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Skanste1
W
18.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Riga Mariners1
W
10.07.26LC
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
L
28.06.26NL
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
L
23.05.26NL
Leevon PPK2
JFK Ventspils1
W
10.05.26NL
Leevon PPK3
Riga FC 22
W
02.05.26NL
Leevon PPK4
Tukums 2000 21
W
12.04.26NL
Leevon PPK0
Marupe0
D
08.11.25NL
Leevon PPK3
JFK Ventspils2
W
19.10.25NL
Leevon PPK0
Marupe0
D
Rezekne (Away)
19.07.26NL
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne0
L
14.06.26NL
RFS 23
Rezekne0
L
30.05.26LC
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
L
09.05.26NL
Super Nova 21
Rezekne0
L
26.04.26NL
Valmiera3
Rezekne1
L
19.04.26NL
Metta5
Rezekne0
L
22.03.26NL
Marupe4
Rezekne0
L
01.11.25NL
FK Smiltene2
Rezekne2
D
18.10.25NL
Riga Mariners6
Rezekne0
L
27.09.25NL
Augsdaugavas0
Rezekne5
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Leevon PPK host Rezekne at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes Liga. We recommend Leevon PPK to win as the standout selection.

Leevon PPK arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rezekne are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Leevon PPK, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Rezekne's 0, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: leevon ppk to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Latvia Nakotnes Liga game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 1 at @1.21, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 5:00 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 1 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Leevon PPK vs Rezekne?
Our selection is 1 — Leevon PPK to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Leevon PPK's current form?
Leevon PPK have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rezekne been performing recently?
Rezekne have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Leevon PPK lead with 5 wins versus Rezekne's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. BettingProfessional1x2 provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.