×
K

Kattaqurgon

Home
W W L W D
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
4:00 pm
N/A
P
Pakhtakor II
Away
L L L L L
1W 0D 9L ▲ Improving
Tuesday, 4th August 2026 Selection
1
Backing Kattaqurgon to win
Kattaqurgon 50%
Draw 30%
Pakhtakor II 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob85.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-31.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #E0A8586F
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 4 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kattaqurgon to win
1.17
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — No70% Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II Competition: Uzbekistan Pro Liga Date: Tuesday, 4th August 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Kattaqurgon to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 54% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet (60%) Ticket #E0A8586F
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kattaqurgon
Metric
Pakhtakor II
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
2.7
60%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-0-9
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
K0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 1.2%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 15.6%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 2.4%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
K2
2-0 15.6%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 2.4%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 10.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 5.2%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 2.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.6%) 2-0(15.6%) 3-0(10.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kattaqurgon Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Pakhtakor II Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kattaqurgon
Overall
6.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.3
Pakhtakor II
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.0
Defence
1.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Kattaqurgon
30.07.26PL
TerDU0
Kattaqurgon2
W
25.07.26PL
Kattaqurgon2
Yaypan1
W
09.06.26PL
Lochin2
Kattaqurgon0
L
04.06.26PL
Kattaqurgon3
FarDU0
W
31.05.26PL
Metallurg Bekabad1
Kattaqurgon1
D
04.05.26PL
Olimpik-Mobiuz0
Kattaqurgon0
D
30.04.26PL
Kattaqurgon1
BuxDu0
W
26.04.26PL
Respublika FA0
Kattaqurgon1
W
21.04.26PL
Kattaqurgon1
Aral1
D
17.04.26PL
Gazalkent0
Kattaqurgon2
W
Pakhtakor II
30.07.26PL
Pakhtakor II1
Olimpik-Mobiuz4
L
24.07.26PL
BuxDu2
Pakhtakor II0
L
08.06.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Respublika FA3
L
03.06.26PL
Aral3
Pakhtakor II0
L
30.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II1
Gazalkent2
L
22.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Yaypan1
L
05.05.26PL
Shortan Guzor2
Pakhtakor II0
L
01.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Jayxun3
L
25.04.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Metallurg Bekabad5
L
19.04.26PL
TerDU2
Pakhtakor II4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 4th August 2026, Kattaqurgon host Pakhtakor II at N/A in Uzbekistan Pro Liga. We recommend Kattaqurgon to win as the standout selection.

Kattaqurgon arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pakhtakor II are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 9L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: kattaqurgon to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Uzbekistan Pro Liga game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 1 at @1.17, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 4:00 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 4 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II?
Our selection is 1 — Kattaqurgon to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Kattaqurgon's current form?
Kattaqurgon have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pakhtakor II been performing recently?
Pakhtakor II have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.
⚠️
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