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WON Tip WON Hluboka nad Vltavou 2-1 Milin
H

Hluboka nad Vltavou

Home
W W W D L
5W 3D 2L → Steady
VS
2-1
M
Milin
Away
L L L L L
2W 0D 8L → Steady
Thursday, 7th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Hluboka nad Vltavou to win
Hluboka nad Vltavou 50%
Draw 30%
Milin 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-35.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #4A03F2B7
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 7 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Hluboka nad Vltavou to win
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Milin Competition: Czech 4 Liga Date: Thursday, 7th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Hluboka nad Vltavou to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 41% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ticket #4A03F2B7
Head to Head
Record
0
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2
Draws
1
Milin
3
Meetings
1.7
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Hluboka nad Vltavou won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hluboka nad Vltavou
Metric
Milin
2.4
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.3
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-3-2
W — D — L
2-0-8
Win Rate
50%
20%
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
H0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
H2
2-0 8.8%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.3%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
H3
3-0 6.9%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
H4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 4.4%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 1.9%
5-1 2.1%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(8.8%) 3-1(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Hluboka nad Vltavou Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Milin Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Hluboka nad Vltavou
Overall
5.9
Scoring
8.0
Defence
4.7
Milin
Overall
2.0
Scoring
2.0
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.10.254L
Milin1
Hluboka nad Vltavou1
09.05.254L
Hluboka nad Vltavou0
Milin3
12.10.244L
Milin0
Hluboka nad Vltavou0
Recent Form
Hluboka nad Vltavou
01.05.264L
Krimice1
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
W
26.04.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou5
Doubravka1
W
19.04.264L
Milevsko3
Hluboka nad Vltavou6
W
10.04.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou1
Sobeslav1
D
05.04.264L
Domazlice B4
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
L
27.03.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
Tachov0
W
22.03.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou0
Benesov0
D
13.03.264L
Petrin Plzen B1
Hluboka nad Vltavou1
D
06.03.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou3
Horovice2
W
21.02.26CF
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
Pisek3
L
Milin
02.05.264L
Milin0
Benesov3
L
25.04.264L
Petrin Plzen B2
Milin1
L
18.04.264L
Milin1
Horovice3
L
11.04.264L
Cesky Krumlov2
Milin1
L
03.04.264L
Milin0
Povltavska FA3
L
28.03.264L
Rokycany2
Milin0
L
21.03.264L
Milin1
FK Komarov0
W
15.03.264L
TJ Prestice0
Milin2
W
07.03.264L
Tachov2
Milin0
L
15.11.254L
Krimice6
Milin0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Czech 4 Liga fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.30 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 7 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Milin?
Our selection is 1 — Hluboka nad Vltavou to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Hluboka nad Vltavou's current form?
Hluboka nad Vltavou have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Milin been performing recently?
Milin have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hluboka nad Vltavou lead with 0 wins versus Milin's 1, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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