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E

Essendon Royals SC

Home
W D W D W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
11:30 am
N/A
A
Altona City
Away
D L L D L
1W 5D 4L ▲ Improving
Friday, 31st July 2026 Selection
1
Backing Essendon Royals SC to win
Essendon Royals SC 50%
Draw 30%
Altona City 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-10.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #724A8D66
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 31 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Essendon Royals SC
0
Draws
0
Altona City
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Essendon Royals SC won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Essendon Royals SC
Metric
Altona City
3.2
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-2-1
W — D — L
1-5-4
Win Rate
70%
10%
3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
E0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
E1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
E2
2-0 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
E3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
E4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(11.0%) 1-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip E=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Essendon Royals SC Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Altona City Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Essendon Royals SC
Overall
7.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
5.7
Altona City
Overall
2.5
Scoring
1.7
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.04.26VPL2
Altona City0
Essendon Royals SC2
Recent Form
Essendon Royals SC
24.07.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC4
Kingston City2
W
17.07.26VPL2
Whittlesea United1
Essendon Royals SC1
D
10.07.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC3
Box Hill2
W
04.07.26VPL2
Bayside Argonauts1
Essendon Royals SC1
D
19.06.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC3
Werribee City2
W
13.06.26VPL2
Malvern2
Essendon Royals SC4
W
05.06.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC8
Springvale0
W
30.05.26VPL2
Goulburn Valley Suns1
Essendon Royals SC0
L
22.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC5
Nunawading City1
W
15.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC3
Moreland City1
W
Altona City
25.07.26VPL2
Altona City0
Whittlesea United0
D
17.07.26VPL2
Box Hill3
Altona City1
L
11.07.26VPL2
Bayside Argonauts1
Altona City0
L
04.07.26VPL2
Werribee City0
Altona City0
D
20.06.26VPL2
Altona City0
Malvern2
L
12.06.26VPL2
Springvale2
Altona City2
D
06.06.26VPL2
Altona City1
Goulburn Valley Suns1
D
29.05.26VPL2
Nunawading City0
Altona City0
D
23.05.26VPL2
Altona City0
Moreland City1
L
16.05.26VPL2
Altona City0
Keilor Park1
L
Essendon Royals SC (Home)
24.07.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC4
Kingston City2
W
10.07.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC3
Box Hill2
W
19.06.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC3
Werribee City2
W
05.06.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC8
Springvale0
W
22.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC5
Nunawading City1
W
15.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC3
Moreland City1
W
01.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC2
Eastern Lions1
W
10.04.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC4
Whittlesea United3
W
20.03.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC1
Bayside Argonauts4
L
06.03.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC1
Malvern2
L
21.02.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC2
Goulburn Valley Suns3
L
Altona City (Away)
17.07.26VPL2
Box Hill3
Altona City1
L
11.07.26VPL2
Bayside Argonauts1
Altona City0
L
04.07.26VPL2
Werribee City0
Altona City0
D
12.06.26VPL2
Springvale2
Altona City2
D
29.05.26VPL2
Nunawading City0
Altona City0
D
08.05.26VPL2
Eastern Lions0
Altona City2
W
01.05.26VPL2
Kingston City2
Altona City1
L
17.04.26VPL2
Whittlesea United2
Altona City2
D
14.03.26VPL2
Malvern1
Altona City2
W
28.02.26VPL2
Goulburn Valley Suns5
Altona City1
L
14.02.26VPL2
Moreland City2
Altona City2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, Essendon Royals SC host Altona City at N/A in Australia Victoria PL 2. We recommend Essendon Royals SC to win as the standout selection.

Essendon Royals SC arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Altona City are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 5D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Essendon Royals SC, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Altona City's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: essendon royals sc to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Australia Victoria PL 2 game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 1 at @1.30, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 11:30 am.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 31 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City?
Our selection is 1 — Essendon Royals SC to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Essendon Royals SC's current form?
Essendon Royals SC have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Altona City been performing recently?
Altona City have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Essendon Royals SC lead with 1 wins versus Altona City's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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