×
B

Benjamin Aceval

Home
W D D W W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
7:00 pm
N/A
G
Guairena
Away
L L W L W
4W 3D 3L ▼ Declining
Monday, 27th July 2026 Selection
1X
Backing Benjamin Aceval to win or draw
Implied Prob89.3%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-9.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #BEA83313
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 27 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Benjamin Aceval
0
Draws
0
Guairena
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Benjamin Aceval
Metric
Guairena
1.9
Goals For / Game
1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-2-1
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
70%
40%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
B0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 12.1%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.7%) 1-0(12.1%) 2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Benjamin Aceval
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
Guairena
Overall
4.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.04.26DI
Guairena0
Benjamin Aceval4
Recent Form
Benjamin Aceval
18.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval2
Resistencia0
W
12.07.26DI
Sol de America1
Benjamin Aceval1
D
06.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Dep. Capiata1
D
30.06.26DI
Independiente FBC1
Benjamin Aceval2
W
06.06.26DI
Benjamin Aceval3
Tacuary2
W
30.05.26DI
Atl. Tembetary4
Benjamin Aceval3
L
24.05.26DI
Paraguari AC1
Benjamin Aceval2
W
21.05.26DI
Benjamin Aceval2
Sp. Carapegua0
W
15.05.26DI
12 de Junio1
Benjamin Aceval2
W
10.05.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Encarnacion FC0
W
Guairena
18.07.26DI
Sp. Carapegua2
Guairena1
L
12.07.26DI
Guairena0
12 de Junio1
L
06.07.26DI
Encarnacion FC1
Guairena2
W
01.07.26DI
Guairena0
Deportivo Santani2
L
06.06.26DI
Fernando de la Mora1
Guairena3
W
01.06.26DI
Guairena2
3 de Noviembre1
W
25.05.26DI
General Caballero JLM0
Guairena0
D
20.05.26DI
Guairena1
Paraguari AC0
W
16.05.26DI
Guairena0
Resistencia0
D
11.05.26DI
Sol de America1
Guairena1
D
Benjamin Aceval (Home)
18.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval2
Resistencia0
W
06.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Dep. Capiata1
D
06.06.26DI
Benjamin Aceval3
Tacuary2
W
21.05.26DI
Benjamin Aceval2
Sp. Carapegua0
W
10.05.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Encarnacion FC0
W
26.04.26DI
Benjamin Aceval0
Fernando de la Mora1
L
11.04.26DI
Benjamin Aceval0
General Caballero JLM0
D
28.08.25COP
Benjamin Aceval0
Guarani3
L
08.09.24COP
Benjamin Aceval1
Ameliano2
L
Guairena (Away)
18.07.26DI
Sp. Carapegua2
Guairena1
L
06.07.26DI
Encarnacion FC1
Guairena2
W
06.06.26DI
Fernando de la Mora1
Guairena3
W
25.05.26DI
General Caballero JLM0
Guairena0
D
11.05.26DI
Sol de America1
Guairena1
D
26.04.26DI
Independiente FBC2
Guairena0
L
10.04.26DI
Atl. Tembetary3
Guairena2
L
28.09.25DI
River Plate2
Guairena4
W
14.09.25DI
Pastoreo1
Guairena0
L
29.08.25DI
Tacuary0
Guairena1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 27th July 2026, Benjamin Aceval host Guairena at N/A in Paraguay Division Intermedia. We recommend Benjamin Aceval to win or draw as the standout selection.

Benjamin Aceval arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Guairena are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Benjamin Aceval, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Guairena's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: benjamin aceval to win or draw at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this P game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 1X at @1.12, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 80%. Kick-off is 7:00 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

 

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 27 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Benjamin Aceval vs Guairena?
Our selection is 1X — Benjamin Aceval to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Benjamin Aceval's current form?
Benjamin Aceval have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Guairena been performing recently?
Guairena have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Benjamin Aceval lead with 1 wins versus Guairena's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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