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LOST Tip LOST ML Vitebsk 1-2 Vitebsk
M

ML Vitebsk

Home
W D W W W
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
1-2
V
Vitebsk
Away
L L D L D
2W 4D 4L → Steady
Saturday, 13th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing ML Vitebsk to win
ML Vitebsk 50%
Draw 30%
Vitebsk 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob73.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-7.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #D0CDA1F2
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 14 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
7
ML Vitebsk
0
Draws
0
Vitebsk
7
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
14%
BTTS
43%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip ML Vitebsk won 7 of the last 7 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
ML Vitebsk
Metric
Vitebsk
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
M0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 7.6%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
M1
1-0 14.8%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
M2
2-0 11.5%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 1.8%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.8%) 2-0(11.5%) 2-1(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
ML Vitebsk Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Vitebsk Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
ML Vitebsk
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.3
Vitebsk
Overall
3.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.10.25VL
Vitebsk0
ML Vitebsk1
31.05.25VL
ML Vitebsk2
Vitebsk0
07.10.23PL
ML Vitebsk0
Vitebsk4
04.06.23PL
Vitebsk1
ML Vitebsk0
21.06.22CUP
ML Vitebsk2
Vitebsk (AET)3
29.10.05PL
ML Vitebsk0
Vitebsk7
16.07.05PL
Vitebsk2
ML Vitebsk0
Recent Form
ML Vitebsk
30.05.26VL
Neman1
ML Vitebsk2
W
22.05.26VL
ML Vitebsk0
FC Gomel0
D
17.05.26VL
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
ML Vitebsk3
W
10.05.26VL
ML Vitebsk5
Dnepr Mogilev1
W
03.05.26VL
Din. Minsk2
ML Vitebsk3
W
29.04.26CUP
Din. Minsk1
ML Vitebsk0
L
25.04.26VL
ML Vitebsk0
Dynamo Brest0
D
19.04.26VL
BATE1
ML Vitebsk2
W
15.04.26CUP
ML Vitebsk0
Din. Minsk2
L
11.04.26VL
Baranovici0
ML Vitebsk4
W
Vitebsk
31.05.26VL
Vitebsk2
Baranovici3
L
23.05.26VL
Isloch3
Vitebsk0
L
17.05.26VL
Zhodino1
Vitebsk1
D
09.05.26VL
Belshina1
Vitebsk0
L
03.05.26VL
Vitebsk0
Slavia Mozyr0
D
25.04.26VL
Naftan1
Vitebsk1
D
18.04.26VL
Vitebsk2
FC Minsk0
W
11.04.26VL
Vitebsk1
BATE0
W
04.04.26VL
Neman2
Vitebsk0
L
20.03.26VL
Vitebsk1
FC Gomel1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Belarus Vysshaya Liga fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.36 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 14 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk?
Our selection is 1 — ML Vitebsk to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is ML Vitebsk's current form?
ML Vitebsk have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vitebsk been performing recently?
Vitebsk have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
ML Vitebsk lead with 7 wins versus Vitebsk's 0, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.
⚠️
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