×
WON Tip WON Liaoning W 3-0 Shandong SL W
L

Liaoning W

Home
W W L W L
5W 2D 3L → Steady
VS
3-0
S
Shandong SL W
Away
L L D L D
2W 4D 4L ▲ Improving
Saturday, 13th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Liaoning W to win
Liaoning W 50%
Draw 30%
Shandong SL W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-35.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #FEDFFC6D
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 14 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
0
Liaoning W
1
Draws
1
Shandong SL W
2
Meetings
1.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Liaoning W won 0 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Liaoning W
Metric
Shandong SL W
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
L0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 8.1%
0-2 5.7%
0-3 2.7%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
L1
1-0 8.4%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
L2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
L3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.5%) 1-0(8.4%) 2-0(6.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Liaoning W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Shandong SL W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Liaoning W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.0
Shandong SL W
Overall
3.2
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.09.25SL
Liaoning W1
Shandong SL1
15.03.25SL
Shandong SL W1
Liaoning0
Recent Form
Liaoning W
16.05.26SL
Zhejiang W0
Liaoning W1
W
09.05.26SL
Liaoning W3
Sichuan W1
W
02.05.26SL
Beijing Beikong W1
Liaoning W0
L
25.04.26SL
Liaoning W2
Guangdong Meizhou W0
W
28.09.25SL
Beijing Beikong W4
Liaoning W0
L
20.09.25SL
Liaoning W4
Wuhan Jiangda W2
W
11.09.25SL
Liaoning W1
Shandong SL W1
D
07.09.25SL
Liaoning W1
Henan Songshan Longmen W1
D
30.08.25SL
Liaoning W2
Changchun Dazhong W1
W
23.08.25SL
Liaoning W0
Jiangsu Suning W1
L
Shandong SL W
17.05.26SL
Shaanxi Changan W1
Shandong SL W0
L
10.05.26SL
Shandong SL W1
Shanghai RCB W2
L
02.05.26SL
Sichuan W1
Shandong SL W1
D
26.04.26SL
Shandong SL W1
Jiangsu Suning W2
L
28.09.25SL
Shanghai RCB W0
Shandong SL W0
D
21.09.25SL
Jiangsu Suning W3
Shandong SL W3
D
11.09.25SL
Liaoning W1
Shandong SL W1
D
07.09.25SL
Shandong SL W4
Yongchuan Chashan W1
W
31.08.25SL
Shandong SL W3
Shaanxi Changan W0
W
24.08.25SL
Changchun Dazhong W4
Shandong SL W2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this China SL Women fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.30 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 14 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Liaoning W vs Shandong SL W?
Our selection is 1 — Liaoning W to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Liaoning W's current form?
Liaoning W have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shandong SL W been performing recently?
Shandong SL W have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Liaoning W lead with 0 wins versus Shandong SL W's 1, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. BettingProfessional1x2 provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.