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LOST Tip LOST Tanjong Pagar 2-1 Hougang
T

Tanjong Pagar

Home
L L L L L
0W 0D 10L → Steady
VS
2-1
H
Hougang
Away
L W W L L
4W 0D 6L → Steady
Monday, 18th May 2026 Selection
2
Backing Hougang to win
Tanjong Pagar 20%
Draw 30%
Hougang 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob70.4%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-20.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #EE76A881
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 19 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Hougang to win
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang Competition: Singapore Premier League Date: Monday, 18th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Hougang to win) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — No (70%) Ticket #EE76A881
Head to Head
Record
1
Tanjong Pagar
3
Draws
6
Hougang
10
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Hougang won 6 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Tanjong Pagar
Metric
Hougang
0.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
3.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
0-0-10
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
0%
40%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
T0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 9.7%
0-2 10.4%
0-3 7.5%
0-4 4.0%
0-5 1.7%
T1
1-0 4.3%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 7.1%
1-4 3.8%
1-5 1.6%
T2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 4.4%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.8%
T3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.4%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.3%
T4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
T5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(10.4%) 1-2(9.9%) 0-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Tanjong Pagar Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Hougang Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Tanjong Pagar
Overall
0.0
Scoring
1.0
Defence
0.0
Hougang
Overall
4.0
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 70%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 75%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.05.26PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Hougang2
23.02.26PL
Hougang3
Tanjong Pagar0
07.11.25CUP
Tanjong Pagar2
Hougang3
13.05.25PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Hougang1
01.11.24PL
Hougang6
Tanjong Pagar0
11.08.24PL
Hougang5
Tanjong Pagar1
26.05.24PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Hougang1
19.04.24CF
Hougang1
Tanjong Pagar0
25.09.23CUP
Tanjong Pagar2
Hougang1
19.08.23PL
Hougang3
Tanjong Pagar3
Recent Form
Tanjong Pagar
09.05.26PL
Balestier Khalsa6
Tanjong Pagar0
L
05.05.26PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Hougang2
L
25.04.26PL
Albirex Niigata4
Tanjong Pagar0
L
19.04.26PL
Geylang2
Tanjong Pagar1
L
10.04.26PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Young Lions1
L
06.04.26PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Lion City4
L
16.03.26PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Tampines3
L
06.03.26PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Albirex Niigata2
L
01.03.26PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Balestier Khalsa4
L
23.02.26PL
Hougang3
Tanjong Pagar0
L
Hougang
10.05.26PL
Hougang0
Tampines1
L
05.05.26PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Hougang2
W
27.04.26PL
Balestier Khalsa0
Hougang3
W
18.04.26PL
Hougang0
Albirex Niigata4
L
12.04.26PL
Lion City4
Hougang1
L
04.04.26PL
Hougang0
Geylang1
L
14.03.26PL
Young Lions0
Hougang2
W
09.03.26PL
Hougang1
Balestier Khalsa2
L
27.02.26PL
Tampines3
Hougang0
L
23.02.26PL
Hougang3
Tanjong Pagar0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Singapore Premier League fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.42 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 19 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang?
Our selection is 2 — Hougang to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Tanjong Pagar's current form?
Tanjong Pagar have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hougang been performing recently?
Hougang have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tanjong Pagar lead with 1 wins versus Hougang's 6, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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