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LOST Tip LOST HB Torshavn 3-4 Streymur
H

HB Torshavn

Home
W L D W L
3W 2D 5L → Steady
VS
3-4
S
Streymur
Away
D D L L L
1W 3D 6L ▼ Declining
Monday, 18th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing HB Torshavn to win
HB Torshavn 60%
Draw 20%
Streymur 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-19.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #045AFB60
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 19 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — HB Torshavn to win
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
HB Torshavn vs Streymur Competition: Faroe Islands Premier League Date: Monday, 18th May 2026 Pick: 1 (HB Torshavn to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 61% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ticket #045AFB60
Head to Head
Record
10
HB Torshavn
0
Draws
0
Streymur
10
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip HB Torshavn won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
HB Torshavn
Metric
Streymur
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.7
Goals Against / Game
2
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-2-5
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
30%
10%
2.9
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
H0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 6.9%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 9.5%
1-1 11.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
H2
2-0 7.9%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
H3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
H4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.5%) 2-1(9.5%) 2-0(7.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
HB Torshavn Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Streymur Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
HB Torshavn
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.3
Streymur
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 27%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.04.26PL
Streymur1
HB Torshavn2
28.09.25PL
Streymur0
HB Torshavn4
10.08.25PL
HB Torshavn2
Streymur1
03.04.25PL
Streymur0
HB Torshavn3
26.10.24PL
Streymur1
HB Torshavn4
10.08.24PL
Streymur0
HB Torshavn4
09.05.24CUP
Streymur1
HB Torshavn (aet)3
19.04.24PL
HB Torshavn2
Streymur1
29.10.23PL
Streymur0
HB Torshavn1
29.05.23PL
HB Torshavn6
Streymur1
Recent Form
HB Torshavn
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
L
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
26.04.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Klaksvik2
L
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
L
15.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Sandur0
W
12.04.26PL
Streymur1
HB Torshavn2
W
06.04.26PL
HB Torshavn2
B36 Torshavn2
D
01.04.26PL
Vikingur2
HB Torshavn1
L
Streymur
10.05.26PL
Streymur1
Vikingur1
D
03.05.26PL
Toftir1
Streymur1
D
26.04.26PL
Streymur0
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
L
20.04.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Streymur0
L
16.04.26CUP
Streymur1
NSI Runavik7
L
12.04.26PL
Streymur1
HB Torshavn2
L
06.04.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag1
Streymur2
W
20.03.26PL
Streymur0
Klaksvik0
D
15.03.26PL
Streymur0
AB Argir3
L
08.03.26PL
B36 Torshavn2
Streymur1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Faroe Islands Premier League fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.24 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 19 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HB Torshavn vs Streymur?
Our selection is 1 — HB Torshavn to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is HB Torshavn's current form?
HB Torshavn have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Streymur been performing recently?
Streymur have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HB Torshavn lead with 10 wins versus Streymur's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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