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WON Tip WON Haka 1-1 Klubi 04
H

Haka

Home
W W L W D
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
1-1
K
Klubi 04
Away
D D L L L
1W 3D 6L ▲ Improving
Monday, 18th May 2026 Selection
1X
Backing Haka to win or draw
Implied Prob90.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-0.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #E3558BEB
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 19 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Haka to win or draw
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Haka vs Klubi 04 Competition: Finland Ykkosliiga Date: Monday, 18th May 2026 Pick: 1X (Haka to win or draw) Odds: 1.10 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ticket #E3558BEB
Head to Head
Record
4
Haka
3
Draws
0
Klubi 04
7
Meetings
4.3
Avg Goals
71%
BTTS
57%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Haka
Metric
Klubi 04
2.9
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
60%
10%
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
H0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 1.6%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 9.1%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 3.7%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
H2
2-0 10.7%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
H3
3-0 8.4%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 4.9%
4-1 4.4%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 2.3%
5-1 2.1%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.7%) 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(9.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Haka
Overall
6.9
Scoring
9.7
Defence
7.3
Klubi 04
Overall
1.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.03.25CF
Haka0
Klubi 040
24.04.21CF
Haka1
Klubi 041
12.04.19CF
Haka4
Klubi 043
20.10.18YKS
Haka5
Klubi 040
12.08.18YKS
Klubi 041
Haka1
14.06.18YKS
Haka4
Klubi 043
19.03.14CUP
Klubi 043
Haka4
Recent Form
Haka
13.05.26CUP
EPS0
Haka4
W
08.05.26YKS
Haka4
Ekenas3
W
02.05.26YKS
Mikkeli1
Haka0
L
29.04.26CUP
EIF Academy0
Haka7
W
25.04.26YKS
Haka2
KaPa2
D
21.04.26YKS
Haka5
JaPS0
W
17.04.26CUP
Lasten0
Haka3
W
11.04.26YKS
PK-350
Haka0
D
27.03.26CF
VPS1
Haka1
D
22.03.26CF
Haka3
TPV1
W
Klubi 04
09.05.26YKS
Jippo1
Klubi 041
D
02.05.26YKS
Klubi 041
SJK Akatemia1
D
24.04.26YKS
Klubi 040
Mikkeli1
L
19.04.26YKS
Ekenas2
Klubi 041
L
10.04.26YKS
JaPS1
Klubi 040
L
06.04.26YKS
Klubi 041
KaPa2
L
20.03.26CF
Klubi 042
PK-352
D
14.03.26CF
Ekenas2
Klubi 043
W
07.03.26CF
Klubi 041
VJS2
L
28.02.26YKC
JaPS4
Klubi 040
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Finland Ykkosliiga fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1X, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.10 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 19 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Haka vs Klubi 04?
Our selection is 1X — Haka to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Haka's current form?
Haka have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Klubi 04 been performing recently?
Klubi 04 have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Haka lead with 4 wins versus Klubi 04's 0, with 3 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 71%.
⚠️
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