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LOST Tip LOST MC Alger 1-1 Rouisset
M

MC Alger

Home
W W L W L
7W 0D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
1-1
R
Rouisset
Away
D L D L L
1W 3D 6L ▲ Improving
Friday, 8th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing MC Alger to win
MC Alger 50%
Draw 30%
Rouisset 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-28.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #7B9F4636
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 8 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — MC Alger to win
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
MC Alger vs Rouisset Competition: Algeria Ligue 1 Date: Friday, 8th May 2026 Pick: 1 (MC Alger to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 48% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ticket #7B9F4636
Head to Head
Record
0
MC Alger
0
Draws
1
Rouisset
1
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip MC Alger won 0 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
MC Alger
Metric
Rouisset
1.9
Goals For / Game
1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-0-3
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
70%
10%
2.8
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
M0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
M1
1-0 11.5%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
M2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
M3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.5%) 2-0(10.4%) 2-1(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
MC Alger Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rouisset Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
MC Alger
Overall
7.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.0
Rouisset
Overall
1.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.12.25DIV
Rouisset1
MC Alger0
Recent Form
MC Alger
28.04.26DIV
MC Alger2
Olympique Akbou1
W
21.04.26DIV
Ben Aknoun2
MC Alger3
W
16.04.26DIV
Constantine2
MC Alger0
L
09.04.26DIV
MC Alger3
El Bayadh0
W
05.04.26DIV
Saoura2
MC Alger1
L
01.04.26DIV
MC Alger1
USM Alger0
W
25.03.26DIV
CR Belouizdad0
MC Alger1
W
17.03.26DIV
MC Alger2
Khenchela1
W
13.03.26DIV
Paradou0
MC Alger2
W
07.03.26DIV
Mostaganem0
MC Alger5
W
Rouisset
17.04.26DIV
Rouisset1
Kabylie1
D
09.04.26DIV
Oran2
Rouisset1
L
03.04.26DIV
Rouisset1
Olympique Akbou1
D
18.03.26DIV
Ben Aknoun3
Rouisset2
L
07.03.26DIV
CR Belouizdad3
Rouisset1
L
28.02.26DIV
Rouisset1
ASO Chlef1
D
20.02.26DIV
ES Setif2
Rouisset1
L
14.02.26DIV
Rouisset1
Mostaganem0
W
08.02.26DIV
Rouisset1
Constantine2
L
04.02.26DIV
El Bayadh2
Rouisset0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Algeria Ligue 1 fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.30 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 8 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for MC Alger vs Rouisset?
Our selection is 1 — MC Alger to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 48%.
What is MC Alger's current form?
MC Alger have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rouisset been performing recently?
Rouisset have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
MC Alger lead with 0 wins versus Rouisset's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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