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LOST Tip LOST FAR Rabat 1-1 Olympique de Safi
F

FAR Rabat

Home
D W D D L
4W 5D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
1-1
O
Olympique de Safi
Away
L L D L D
0W 6D 4L → Steady
Thursday, 7th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing FAR Rabat to win
FAR Rabat 50%
Draw 30%
Olympique de Safi 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob74.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-32.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #ECE96E82
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 7 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FAR Rabat to win
1.34
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FAR Rabat vs Olympique de Safi Competition: Morocco Botola Pro Date: Thursday, 7th May 2026 Pick: 1 (FAR Rabat to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 42% Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ticket #ECE96E82
Head to Head
Record
3
FAR Rabat
6
Draws
1
Olympique de Safi
10
Meetings
1.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
10%
Over 2.5
Against Tip FAR Rabat won 3 of the last 10 meetings (6 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FAR Rabat
Metric
Olympique de Safi
1.2
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-5-1
W — D — L
0-6-4
Win Rate
40%
0%
2.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
F0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 14.0%
1-1 12.6%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 9.8%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.0%) 2-0(9.8%) 2-1(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FAR Rabat Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Olympique de Safi Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FAR Rabat
Overall
5.5
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.3
Olympique de Safi
Overall
1.8
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 41%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 26%
Draw & Under 2.5 32%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.10.25BOT
Olympique de Safi0
FAR Rabat3
09.08.25CF
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi0
28.02.25BOT
Olympique de Safi1
FAR Rabat1
26.10.24BOT
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi1
16.03.24BOT
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi0
11.11.23BOT
Olympique de Safi1
FAR Rabat0
12.03.23BOT
Olympique de Safi0
FAR Rabat0
18.10.22BOT
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi1
19.06.22BOT
Olympique de Safi0
FAR Rabat0
20.11.21BOT
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi1
Recent Form
FAR Rabat
03.05.26BOT
IR Tanger0
FAR Rabat0
D
30.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Raja Casablanca1
W
26.04.26BOT
Yacoub El Mansour2
FAR Rabat2
D
22.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat0
Berkane0
D
18.04.26CL
Berkane1
FAR Rabat0
L
11.04.26CL
FAR Rabat2
Berkane0
W
05.04.26BOT
Kawkab Marrakech0
FAR Rabat0
D
02.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat3
Dcheira2
W
21.03.26CL
Pyramids1
FAR Rabat2
W
13.03.26CL
FAR Rabat1
Pyramids1
D
Olympique de Safi
04.05.26BOT
Hassania Agadir2
Olympique de Safi1
L
29.04.26BOT
Olympique de Safi1
IR Tanger2
L
25.04.26BOT
Union Touarga1
Olympique de Safi1
D
22.04.26BOT
Olympique de Safi1
Renaissance Zemamra3
L
19.04.26CON
Olympique de Safi1
USM Alger1
D
11.04.26CON
USM Alger0
Olympique de Safi0
D
04.04.26BOT
Olympique de Safi1
Yacoub El Mansour3
W
01.04.26BOT
Olympique de Safi1
Berkane1
D
22.03.26CON
Wydad AC2
Olympique de Safi2
D
15.03.26CON
Olympique de Safi1
Wydad AC1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Morocco Botola Pro fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.34 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 7 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FAR Rabat vs Olympique de Safi?
Our selection is 1 — FAR Rabat to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 42%.
What is FAR Rabat's current form?
FAR Rabat have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Olympique de Safi been performing recently?
Olympique de Safi have recorded 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FAR Rabat lead with 3 wins versus Olympique de Safi's 1, with 6 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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