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WON Tip WON Fakel Voronezh U19 1-5 CSKA Moscow U19
F

Fakel Voronezh U19

Home
L L L W L
3W 0D 7L ▲ Improving
VS
1-5
C
CSKA Moscow U19
Away
W W L D W
5W 1D 4L → Steady
Thursday, 7th May 2026 Selection
2
Backing CSKA Moscow U19 to win
Fakel Voronezh U19 20%
Draw 30%
CSKA Moscow U19 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob75.2%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-12.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #6135732B
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 7 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — CSKA Moscow U19 to win
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19 Competition: Russia Youth League Date: Thursday, 7th May 2026 Pick: 2 (CSKA Moscow U19 to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Ticket #6135732B
Head to Head
Record
0
Fakel Voronezh U19
0
Draws
5
CSKA Moscow U19
5
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip CSKA Moscow U19 won 5 of 5 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Fakel Voronezh U19
Metric
CSKA Moscow U19
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.7
2.2
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-0-7
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
30%
50%
4.1
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
F0
0-0 1.7%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 5.0%
0-3 4.1%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 1.2%
F1
1-0 2.7%
1-1 6.7%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 6.7%
1-4 4.1%
1-5 2.0%
F2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 5.5%
2-4 3.4%
2-5 1.7%
F3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 3.0%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.9%
3-5 0.9%
F4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.4%
F5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.2%) 1-3(6.7%) 2-3(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Fakel Voronezh U19 Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
CSKA Moscow U19 Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Fakel Voronezh U19
Overall
3.0
Scoring
5.3
Defence
2.7
CSKA Moscow U19
Overall
5.3
Scoring
9.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 41%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.08.25YL
Fakel Voronezh U192
CSKA Moscow U193
04.04.25YL
CSKA Moscow U191
Fakel Voronezh U190
12.07.24YL
CSKA Moscow U197
Fakel Voronezh U192
12.04.24YL
Fakel Voronezh U190
CSKA Moscow U191
01.12.23YL
CSKA Moscow U192
Fakel Voronezh U190
Recent Form
Fakel Voronezh U19
01.05.26YL
Fakel Voronezh U192
Konoplev Academy U193
L
24.04.26YL
Dynamo Moscow U192
Fakel Voronezh U190
L
17.04.26YL
Fakel Voronezh U191
Nizhny Novgorod U192
L
10.04.26YL
Almaz Antey U190
Fakel Voronezh U191
W
03.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U192
L
20.03.26YL
Spartak Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U193
L
13.03.26YL
Dynamo Makhachkala U192
Fakel Voronezh U190
L
06.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Fakel Voronezh U193
W
21.11.25YL
FK Rostov U193
Fakel Voronezh U190
L
07.11.25YL
Fakel Voronezh U194
Akhmat Grozny U190
W
CSKA Moscow U19
01.05.26YL
CSKA Moscow U193
Dynamo Moscow U191
W
24.04.26YL
Nizhny Novgorod U190
CSKA Moscow U195
W
17.04.26YL
CSKA Moscow U192
Almaz Antey U193
L
10.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
CSKA Moscow U194
D
03.04.26YL
CSKA Moscow U192
Spartak Moscow U190
W
20.03.26YL
Dynamo Makhachkala U190
CSKA Moscow U192
W
13.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
CSKA Moscow U194
W
06.03.26YL
Ural U190
CSKA Moscow U195
W
21.11.25YL
Krasnodar U190
CSKA Moscow U192
W
07.11.25YL
CSKA Moscow U193
Spartak Moscow U192
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Russia Youth League fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.33 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 7 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fakel Voronezh U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19?
Our selection is 2 — CSKA Moscow U19 to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Fakel Voronezh U19's current form?
Fakel Voronezh U19 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has CSKA Moscow U19 been performing recently?
CSKA Moscow U19 have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Fakel Voronezh U19 lead with 0 wins versus CSKA Moscow U19's 5, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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