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WON Tip WON FC Gandzasar 1-4 Noah
F

FC Gandzasar

Home
L W D L L
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-4
N
Noah
Away
D D D W W
6W 4D 0L ▼ Declining
Wednesday, 6th May 2026 Selection
2
Backing Noah to win
FC Gandzasar 20%
Draw 30%
Noah 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob78.7%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-12.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #A94260E5
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 7 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Noah to win
1.27
BTTS — No65% Noah Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FC Gandzasar vs Noah Competition: Armenia Premier League Date: Wednesday, 6th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Noah to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 66% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Noah Clean Sheet (80%) Ticket #A94260E5
Head to Head
Record
0
FC Gandzasar
0
Draws
7
Noah
7
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
14%
BTTS
86%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Noah won 7 of 7 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Gandzasar
Metric
Noah
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.3
30%
Clean Sheets
80%
3-4-3
W — D — L
6-4-0
Win Rate
30%
60%
2.3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
F0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 15.8%
0-2 11.9%
0-3 5.9%
0-4 2.2%
0-5 0.7%
F1
1-0 7.9%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
F2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 4.5%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
F3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(15.8%) 0-2(11.9%) 1-2(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FC Gandzasar Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Noah Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FC Gandzasar
Overall
4.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.3
Noah
Overall
7.2
Scoring
5.3
Defence
9.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 19%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
17.08.25PL
Noah4
FC Gandzasar1
20.04.25PL
Noah1
FC Gandzasar0
02.04.25CUP
Noah4
FC Gandzasar0
10.03.25PL
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
06.03.25CUP
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
08.12.24PL
Noah7
FC Gandzasar0
Recent Form
FC Gandzasar
02.05.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Van1
L
26.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar3
Shirak Gyumri2
W
19.04.26PL
BKMA1
FC Gandzasar1
D
10.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
L
05.04.26PL
Urartu4
FC Gandzasar2
L
21.03.26PL
FC Gandzasar2
Ararat Yerevan1
W
14.03.26PL
Ararat Yerevan0
FC Gandzasar2
W
06.03.26PL
FC Gandzasar2
Urartu2
D
25.02.26CF
Sardarapat0
FC Gandzasar0
D
14.02.26CF
Van0
FC Gandzasar0
D
Noah
03.05.26PL
Noah0
Pyunik Yerevan0
D
29.04.26CUP
Noah0
Ararat-Armenia0
D
25.04.26PL
Alashkert1
Noah1
D
20.04.26PL
Noah2
Van0
W
16.04.26CUP
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah1
W
10.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
W
05.04.26PL
Noah2
BKMA0
W
01.04.26CUP
Noah2
Pyunik Yerevan2
D
22.03.26PL
Noah3
Shirak Gyumri0
W
16.03.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Noah2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Armenia Premier League fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.27 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 7 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Gandzasar vs Noah?
Our selection is 2 — Noah to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is FC Gandzasar's current form?
FC Gandzasar have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Noah been performing recently?
Noah have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Gandzasar lead with 0 wins versus Noah's 7, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.
⚠️
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