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WON Tip WON Simba 1-0 JKT Tanzania
S

Simba

Home
D W W W D
6W 4D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
J
JKT Tanzania
Away
W L W D L
4W 3D 3L → Steady
Wednesday, 6th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Simba to win
Simba 60%
Draw 20%
JKT Tanzania 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob82.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-14.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #8B26A03F
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 7 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Simba to win
1.21
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Simba vs JKT Tanzania Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Wednesday, 6th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Simba to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 68% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ticket #8B26A03F
Head to Head
Record
9
Simba
0
Draws
1
JKT Tanzania
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Simba won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Simba
Metric
JKT Tanzania
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-4-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
60%
40%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
S0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 14.1%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.1%) 2-0(10.9%) 2-1(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Simba Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
JKT Tanzania Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Simba
Overall
7.2
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.0
JKT Tanzania
Overall
4.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.11.25LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Simba2
05.05.25LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Simba1
24.12.24LKB
Simba1
JKT Tanzania0
28.05.24LKB
Simba2
JKT Tanzania0
15.02.24LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Simba1
01.03.21LKB
Simba3
JKT Tanzania0
04.10.20LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Simba4
07.02.20LKB
Simba0
JKT Tanzania1
29.08.19LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Simba3
30.04.19LKB
Simba1
JKT Tanzania0
Recent Form
Simba
03.05.26LKB
Simba2
Young Africans2
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo1
Simba3
W
15.04.26LKB
Fountain Gate0
Simba3
W
12.04.26FAC
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
W
09.04.26LKB
TRA United0
Simba0
D
05.04.26LKB
Azam0
Simba0
D
02.04.26LKB
Simba2
Coastal Union0
W
22.03.26LKB
Simba3
TRA United0
W
19.03.26LKB
Pamba1
Simba1
D
11.03.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Simba2
W
JKT Tanzania
30.04.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Kinondoni MC0
W
17.04.26LKB
Azam3
JKT Tanzania0
L
10.04.26FAC
JKT Tanzania3
Mbuni0
W
04.04.26LKB
Namungo2
JKT Tanzania2
D
25.02.26LKB
Young Africans5
JKT Tanzania0
L
13.02.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Coastal Union1
D
09.02.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Mashujaa0
W
02.02.26LKB
JKT Tanzania3
Pamba0
W
30.01.26LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Dodoma Jiji1
L
25.01.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
JKT Tanzania0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.21 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 7 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Simba vs JKT Tanzania?
Our selection is 1 — Simba to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Simba's current form?
Simba have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has JKT Tanzania been performing recently?
JKT Tanzania have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Simba lead with 9 wins versus JKT Tanzania's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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