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LOST Tip LOST Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 Gagra
T

Torpedo Kutaisi

Home
W W W D D
5W 5D 0L → Steady
VS
1-2
G
Gagra
Away
W L D L L
2W 4D 4L ▲ Improving
Thursday, 28th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Torpedo Kutaisi to win
Torpedo Kutaisi 50%
Draw 30%
Gagra 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob69.4%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-9.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #D8C98D62
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 28 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Torpedo Kutaisi to win
1.44
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra Competition: Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Date: Thursday, 28th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Torpedo Kutaisi to win) Odds: 1.44 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ticket #D8C98D62
Head to Head
Record
9
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
Draws
0
Gagra
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Torpedo Kutaisi won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Torpedo Kutaisi
Metric
Gagra
2.1
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-5-0
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
T0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 13.3%
1-1 11.3%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
T2
2-0 11.3%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 6.4%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.3%) 2-0(11.3%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Torpedo Kutaisi Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Gagra Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Torpedo Kutaisi
Overall
6.5
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.3
Gagra
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.04.26EL1
Gagra2
Torpedo Kutaisi2
17.10.25EL1
Gagra0
Torpedo Kutaisi2
03.08.25EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra1
24.04.25EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra1
01.03.25EL1
Gagra1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
27.11.24EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra0
22.09.24EL1
Gagra0
Torpedo Kutaisi3
24.05.24EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra1
07.04.24EL1
Gagra0
Torpedo Kutaisi1
29.10.23EL1
Gagra1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Recent Form
Torpedo Kutaisi
24.05.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Torpedo Kutaisi1
W
20.05.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Torpedo Kutaisi4
W
15.05.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Dila Gori1
W
10.05.26EL1
Iberia 19991
Torpedo Kutaisi1
D
05.05.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi1
Rustavi1
D
01.05.26EL1
Spaeri1
Torpedo Kutaisi1
D
27.04.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi0
Torpedo Kutaisi3
W
21.04.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi6
Samgurali1
W
17.04.26EL1
Gagra2
Torpedo Kutaisi2
D
07.04.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Dinamo Tbilisi0
D
Gagra
24.05.26EL1
Gagra2
Dila Gori0
W
20.05.26EL1
Iberia 19991
Gagra0
L
16.05.26EL1
Gagra1
Rustavi1
D
11.05.26EL1
Spaeri3
Gagra0
L
06.05.26EL1
Gagra1
Dinamo Batumi2
L
02.05.26EL1
Samgurali2
Gagra0
L
27.04.26EL1
Gagra1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
D
21.04.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Gagra1
W
17.04.26EL1
Gagra2
Torpedo Kutaisi2
D
07.04.26EL1
Dila Gori1
Gagra1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.44 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 28 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?
Our selection is 1 — Torpedo Kutaisi to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Torpedo Kutaisi's current form?
Torpedo Kutaisi have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gagra been performing recently?
Gagra have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Torpedo Kutaisi lead with 9 wins versus Gagra's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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