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WON Tip WON Chrobry Glogow 1-1 LKS Lodz
C

Chrobry Glogow

Home
D W L W L
4W 2D 4L → Steady
VS
1-1
L
LKS Lodz
Away
W L D W W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
Thursday, 28th May 2026 Selection
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob79.4%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+8.6%Value detected
Kelly %41.8%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #8463303F
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 28 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.26
Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Chrobry Glogow vs LKS Lodz Competition: Poland Division 1 Date: Thursday, 28th May 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 88% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ticket #8463303F
Head to Head
Record
5
Chrobry Glogow
0
Draws
5
LKS Lodz
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chrobry Glogow
Metric
LKS Lodz
1.3
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.3
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
40%
50%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
C0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 8.3%
0-2 7.3%
0-3 4.2%
0-4 1.9%
0-5 0.7%
C1
1-0 6.2%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.4%
1-5 0.8%
C2
2-0 4.0%
2-1 7.0%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 3.6%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
C3
3-0 1.7%
3-1 3.0%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.0%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.8%) 1-2(9.4%) 0-1(8.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Chrobry Glogow
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
LKS Lodz
Overall
5.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.02.26DIV
LKS Lodz1
Chrobry Glogow3
25.09.25CUP
LKS Lodz5
Chrobry Glogow3
09.08.25DIV
Chrobry Glogow2
LKS Lodz1
14.03.25DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
LKS Lodz2
25.08.24DIV
LKS Lodz3
Chrobry Glogow0
25.02.23DIV
LKS Lodz5
Chrobry Glogow2
06.08.22DIV
Chrobry Glogow2
LKS Lodz3
22.04.22DIV
LKS Lodz0
Chrobry Glogow1
01.12.21DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
LKS Lodz0
01.05.21DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
LKS Lodz0
Recent Form
Chrobry Glogow
24.05.26DIV
Wieczysta Krakow1
Chrobry Glogow1
D
16.05.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow3
Pruszkow2
W
08.05.26DIV
Wisla2
Chrobry Glogow0
L
03.05.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow3
Tychy2
W
25.04.26DIV
Polonia Warszawa1
Chrobry Glogow0
L
17.04.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow2
Stal Mielec1
W
11.04.26DIV
Leczna1
Chrobry Glogow0
L
06.04.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
Ruch Chorzow1
D
22.03.26DIV
Pogon Siedlce1
Chrobry Glogow2
W
13.03.26DIV
Chrobry Glogow1
Puszcza2
L
LKS Lodz
24.05.26DIV
LKS Lodz3
Leczna1
W
18.05.26DIV
Puszcza1
LKS Lodz0
L
11.05.26DIV
Slask Wroclaw2
LKS Lodz2
D
07.05.26DIV
LKS Lodz3
Grodzisk M.2
W
02.05.26DIV
LKS Lodz4
Pogon Siedlce0
W
25.04.26DIV
LKS Lodz2
S. Rzeszow1
W
18.04.26DIV
Tychy3
LKS Lodz2
L
04.04.26DIV
Wieczysta Krakow0
LKS Lodz2
W
21.03.26DIV
LKS Lodz2
Ruch Chorzow2
D
15.03.26DIV
LKS Lodz1
Odra Opole1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Poland Division 1 fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is Over 1.5, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.26 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 28 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chrobry Glogow vs LKS Lodz?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 88%.
What is Chrobry Glogow's current form?
Chrobry Glogow have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has LKS Lodz been performing recently?
LKS Lodz have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chrobry Glogow lead with 5 wins versus LKS Lodz's 5, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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