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WON Tip WON Stromsgodset 6-1 Raufoss
S

Stromsgodset

Home
W W D W W
7W 2D 1L → Steady
VS
6-1
R
Raufoss
Away
L L W W L
2W 1D 7L → Steady
Sunday, 14th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Stromsgodset to win
Stromsgodset 60%
Draw 20%
Raufoss 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob83.3%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-25.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #4AEE919C
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 15 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Stromsgodset to win
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Stromsgodset vs Raufoss Competition: Norway OBOS-Ligaen Date: Sunday, 14th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Stromsgodset to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ticket #4AEE919C
Head to Head
Record
4
Stromsgodset
2
Draws
4
Raufoss
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Stromsgodset won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Stromsgodset
Metric
Raufoss
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.1
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
70%
20%
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 7.1%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 8.3%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 6.5%
3-1 7.5%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 4.4%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 2.1%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(8.3%) 3-1(7.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Stromsgodset Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Raufoss Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Stromsgodset
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.3
Raufoss
Overall
2.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.02.23CF
Stromsgodset2
Raufoss0
12.03.22NMC
Raufoss1
Stromsgodset (pen 5-6)1
23.02.22CF
Stromsgodset3
Raufoss1
09.06.20CF
Stromsgodset3
Raufoss0
19.05.10NMC
Raufoss0
Stromsgodset1
03.10.04OBO
Raufoss1
Stromsgodset0
13.06.04OBO
Stromsgodset1
Raufoss2
01.11.03OBO
Stromsgodset1
Raufoss2
06.07.03OBO
Raufoss2
Stromsgodset2
07.07.02OBO
Raufoss3
Stromsgodset1
Recent Form
Stromsgodset
31.05.26OBO
Egersund0
Stromsgodset5
W
25.05.26OBO
Stromsgodset1
Bryne0
W
20.05.26OBO
Moss1
Stromsgodset1
D
16.05.26OBO
Stromsgodset5
Ranheim4
W
10.05.26OBO
Asane0
Stromsgodset3
W
01.05.26OBO
Stromsgodset3
Strommen0
W
26.04.26OBO
Sandnes1
Stromsgodset1
D
18.04.26OBO
Stromsgodset3
Sogndal0
W
11.04.26OBO
Haugesund4
Stromsgodset2
L
05.04.26OBO
Stromsgodset2
Stabaek1
W
Raufoss
31.05.26OBO
Raufoss3
Haugesund4
L
25.05.26OBO
Asane3
Raufoss0
L
20.05.26OBO
Raufoss3
Bryne0
W
16.05.26OBO
Stabaek1
Raufoss2
W
10.05.26OBO
Raufoss0
Lyn1
L
06.05.26OBO
Egersund2
Raufoss1
L
01.05.26OBO
Odd1
Raufoss0
L
26.04.26OBO
Raufoss1
Hodd1
D
17.04.26OBO
Ranheim5
Raufoss1
L
13.04.26OBO
Raufoss1
Kongsvinger3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Norway OBOS-Ligaen fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.20 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 15 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Stromsgodset vs Raufoss?
Our selection is 1 — Stromsgodset to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Stromsgodset's current form?
Stromsgodset have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Raufoss been performing recently?
Raufoss have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Stromsgodset lead with 4 wins versus Raufoss's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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