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LOST Tip LOST Sportunion Mauer 1-2 Retz
S

Sportunion Mauer

Home
L W L W W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
1-2
R
Retz
Away
D L L L L
1W 2D 7L ▲ Improving
Saturday, 30th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Sportunion Mauer to win
Sportunion Mauer 50%
Draw 30%
Retz 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob72.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-34.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #34AA64F6
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 31 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Sportunion Mauer to win
1.38
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Sportunion Mauer vs Retz Competition: Austria Regionalliga East Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Sportunion Mauer to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 38% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ticket #34AA64F6
Head to Head
Record
0
Sportunion Mauer
1
Draws
0
Retz
1
Meetings
0
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Sportunion Mauer won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sportunion Mauer
Metric
Retz
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
40%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Sportunion Mauer Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Retz Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Sportunion Mauer
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.7
Retz
Overall
1.6
Scoring
1.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.11.25RL
Retz0
Sportunion Mauer0
Recent Form
Sportunion Mauer
22.05.26RL
Gloggnitz2
Sportunion Mauer1
L
15.05.26RL
Sportunion Mauer1
Leobendorf0
W
08.05.26RL
Neusiedl3
Sportunion Mauer2
L
01.05.26RL
Sportunion Mauer5
SV Oberwart3
W
24.04.26RL
SV Donau2
Sportunion Mauer4
W
17.04.26RL
Sportunion Mauer0
Marchfeld3
L
14.04.26RL
TWL Elektra0
Sportunion Mauer2
W
06.04.26RL
Sportunion Mauer0
Horn0
D
03.04.26RL
Donaufeld Wien3
Sportunion Mauer0
L
28.03.26RL
Sportunion Mauer0
Parndorf0
D
Retz
16.05.26RL
Retz0
Gloggnitz0
D
09.05.26RL
Leobendorf1
Retz0
L
02.05.26RL
Retz1
Neusiedl3
L
28.04.26RL
Wiener Sport-Club2
Retz1
L
24.04.26RL
SV Oberwart4
Retz0
L
18.04.26RL
Retz0
SV Donau4
L
10.04.26RL
Marchfeld1
Retz0
L
06.04.26RL
Retz2
TWL Elektra0
W
03.04.26RL
Horn1
Retz1
D
28.03.26RL
Retz0
Donaufeld Wien2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Austria Regionalliga East fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.38 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 31 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sportunion Mauer vs Retz?
Our selection is 1 — Sportunion Mauer to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 38%.
What is Sportunion Mauer's current form?
Sportunion Mauer have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Retz been performing recently?
Retz have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sportunion Mauer lead with 0 wins versus Retz's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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