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WON Tip WON Kuchl 3-1 FC Lustenau
K

Kuchl

Home
L W W W L
6W 0D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
3-1
F
FC Lustenau
Away
D L L W L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
Saturday, 30th May 2026 Selection
1X
Backing Kuchl to win or draw
Implied Prob89.3%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+0.7%Value detected
Kelly %6.7%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #2138B8D2
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 31 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Kuchl to win or draw
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kuchl vs FC Lustenau Competition: Austria Regionalliga West Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: 1X (Kuchl to win or draw) Odds: 1.12 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ticket #2138B8D2
Head to Head
Record
0
Kuchl
1
Draws
0
FC Lustenau
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kuchl
Metric
FC Lustenau
2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.3
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-0-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
K0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
K1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 6.3%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
K2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
K3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
K4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
K5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.0%) 1-1(8.4%) 2-2(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kuchl
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.3
FC Lustenau
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 45%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.10.25RL
FC Lustenau2
Kuchl2
Recent Form
Kuchl
22.05.26RL
Wacker Innsbruck4
Kuchl3
L
14.05.26RL
Kuchl3
Kitzbuhel1
W
09.05.26RL
Wals-Grunau1
Kuchl2
W
03.05.26RL
Kuchl1
Saalfelden0
W
25.04.26RL
Dornbirn2
Kuchl0
L
19.04.26RL
Kuchl3
Reichenau0
W
10.04.26RL
Seekirchen2
Kuchl1
L
06.04.26RL
Kuchl4
Altach U211
W
02.04.26RL
TSV St. Johann0
Kuchl2
W
29.03.26RL
Kuchl1
Kufstein3
L
FC Lustenau
23.05.26RL
FC Lustenau2
Schwaz2
D
16.05.26RL
SC Imst4
FC Lustenau1
L
09.05.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Bischofshofen4
L
02.05.26RL
Lauterach2
FC Lustenau3
W
19.04.26RL
Wacker Innsbruck5
FC Lustenau0
L
11.04.26RL
Kitzbuhel1
FC Lustenau0
L
06.04.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Wals-Grunau2
L
03.04.26RL
Saalfelden1
FC Lustenau3
W
28.03.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Dornbirn1
D
25.03.26RL
Reichenau1
FC Lustenau4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Austria Regionalliga West fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1X, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.12 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 31 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kuchl vs FC Lustenau?
Our selection is 1X — Kuchl to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Kuchl's current form?
Kuchl have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has FC Lustenau been performing recently?
FC Lustenau have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kuchl lead with 0 wins versus FC Lustenau's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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