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WON Tip WON North East Utd 2-0 Mohammedan
N

North East Utd

Home
W W L L D
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
M
Mohammedan
Away
L L D D D
0W 3D 7L → Steady
Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing North East Utd to win
North East Utd 50%
Draw 30%
Mohammedan 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob77.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-31.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #EEE97375
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 19 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — North East Utd to win
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
North East Utd vs Mohammedan Competition: India ISL Date: Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Pick: 1 (North East Utd to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 46% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ticket #EEE97375
Head to Head
Record
2
North East Utd
1
Draws
0
Mohammedan
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip North East Utd won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
North East Utd
Metric
Mohammedan
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.7
Goals Against / Game
2.7
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-3-4
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate
30%
0%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
N0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 8.2%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
N2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
N3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 1-0(8.2%) 2-0(8.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
North East Utd Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Mohammedan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
North East Utd
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.3
Mohammedan
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
1.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 33%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 30%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.04.25HSC
North East Utd6
Mohammedan0
03.01.25ISL
North East Utd0
Mohammedan0
16.09.24ISL
Mohammedan0
North East Utd1
Recent Form
North East Utd
10.05.26ISL
North East Utd4
Chennaiyin1
W
02.05.26ISL
North East Utd3
Inter Kashi2
W
24.04.26ISL
North East Utd0
Goa2
L
19.04.26ISL
North East Utd0
Mohun Bagan1
L
15.04.26ISL
Kerala Blasters1
North East Utd1
D
10.04.26ISL
North East Utd0
SC Delhi3
L
20.03.26ISL
North East Utd1
Odisha FC4
L
15.03.26ISL
North East Utd2
Jamshedpur1
W
09.03.26ISL
Punjab1
North East Utd1
D
01.03.26ISL
Mumbai City1
North East Utd1
D
Mohammedan
15.05.26ISL
Mohammedan0
Mumbai City4
L
10.05.26ISL
Kerala Blasters3
Mohammedan1
L
26.04.26ISL
SC Delhi2
Mohammedan2
D
21.04.26ISL
Chennaiyin0
Mohammedan0
D
17.04.26ISL
Odisha FC1
Mohammedan1
D
12.04.26ISL
Inter Kashi1
Mohammedan0
L
03.04.26ISL
Punjab2
Mohammedan1
L
23.03.26ISL
East Bengal7
Mohammedan0
L
07.03.26ISL
Mohammedan1
Bengaluru FC2
L
28.02.26ISL
Mohun Bagan5
Mohammedan1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this India ISL fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.29 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 19 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for North East Utd vs Mohammedan?
Our selection is 1 — North East Utd to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is North East Utd's current form?
North East Utd have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mohammedan been performing recently?
Mohammedan have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
North East Utd lead with 2 wins versus Mohammedan's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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