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WON Tip WON Ben Aknoun 3-0 Mostaganem
B

Ben Aknoun

Home
L W D L W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
M
Mostaganem
Away
D L L L W
1W 2D 7L ▼ Declining
Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Ben Aknoun to win
Ben Aknoun 50%
Draw 30%
Mostaganem 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob73%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-18%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #2BB12C74
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 19 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ben Aknoun to win
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem Competition: Algeria Ligue 1 Date: Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Ben Aknoun to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Ticket #2BB12C74
Head to Head
Record
3
Ben Aknoun
0
Draws
0
Mostaganem
3
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ben Aknoun won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ben Aknoun
Metric
Mostaganem
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.7
Goals Against / Game
2.9
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-2-4
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
40%
10%
3.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
B0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 3.7%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 7.3%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 8.4%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 6.4%
3-1 7.4%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 4.3%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 2.0%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.7%) 2-0(8.4%) 3-1(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ben Aknoun Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Mostaganem Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ben Aknoun
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.3
Mostaganem
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
0.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.12.25DIV
Mostaganem0
Ben Aknoun1
02.06.23L2
Ben Aknoun1
Mostaganem0
11.01.23L2
Mostaganem0
Ben Aknoun1
Recent Form
Ben Aknoun
21.04.26DIV
Ben Aknoun2
MC Alger3
L
10.04.26DIV
Ben Aknoun2
ASO Chlef1
W
05.04.26DIV
ES Setif1
Ben Aknoun1
D
01.04.26DIV
Kabylie3
Ben Aknoun1
L
18.03.26DIV
Ben Aknoun3
Rouisset2
W
13.03.26DIV
Constantine0
Ben Aknoun0
D
07.03.26DIV
Ben Aknoun1
El Bayadh0
W
27.02.26DIV
Saoura1
Ben Aknoun0
L
21.02.26DIV
Ben Aknoun2
Khenchela3
L
14.02.26DIV
Paradou3
Ben Aknoun5
W
Mostaganem
12.05.26DIV
USM Alger1
Mostaganem1
D
07.05.26DIV
Mostaganem0
Saoura4
L
10.04.26DIV
Mostaganem0
Khenchela3
L
05.04.26DIV
CR Belouizdad7
Mostaganem0
L
17.03.26DIV
Mostaganem3
Paradou2
W
13.03.26DIV
ASO Chlef1
Mostaganem0
L
07.03.26DIV
Mostaganem0
MC Alger5
L
28.02.26DIV
ES Setif3
Mostaganem0
L
21.02.26DIV
Mostaganem2
Kabylie2
D
14.02.26DIV
Rouisset1
Mostaganem0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Algeria Ligue 1 fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.37 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 19 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem?
Our selection is 1 — Ben Aknoun to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Ben Aknoun's current form?
Ben Aknoun have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mostaganem been performing recently?
Mostaganem have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ben Aknoun lead with 3 wins versus Mostaganem's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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