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WON Tip WON Jaro 2 2-1 Hercules
J

Jaro 2

Home
L W W L W
6W 0D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
2-1
H
Hercules
Away
L L L L L
4W 0D 6L ▲ Improving
Sunday, 14th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Jaro 2 to win
Jaro 2 60%
Draw 20%
Hercules 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob79.4%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-13.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #129E3110
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 15 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Jaro 2 to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals89% Over 1.5 Goals94%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Jaro 2 vs Hercules Competition: Finland Kakkonen C Date: Sunday, 14th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Jaro 2 to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (89%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (94%) Ticket #129E3110
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Jaro 2
Metric
Hercules
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.8
2.4
Goals Against / Game
2.8
38%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-0-2
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
75%
40%
4.7
Avg Goals
94%
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
J0
0-0 0.9%
0-1 1.8%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.3%
J1
1-0 2.3%
1-1 4.8%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 3.5%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.8%
J2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 4.7%
2-4 2.5%
2-5 1.0%
J3
3-0 2.7%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 5.9%
3-3 4.1%
3-4 2.2%
3-5 0.9%
J4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 3.7%
4-2 3.9%
4-3 2.7%
4-4 1.4%
4-5 0.6%
J5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 2.0%
5-2 2.1%
5-3 1.5%
5-4 0.8%
5-5 0.3%
Top Scores 2-1(6.4%) 3-2(5.9%) 3-1(5.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip J=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Jaro 2 Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Hercules Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Jaro 2
Overall
7.5
Scoring
8.3
Defence
2.1
Hercules
Overall
4.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
0.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 58%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 31%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Jaro 2
06.06.26KAK
Huima / Urho7
Jaro 21
L
29.05.26KAK
JBK0
Jaro 23
W
21.05.26KAK
Jaro 22
VPS 21
W
16.05.26KAK
TP-473
Jaro 21
L
09.05.26KAK
GBK Kokkola0
Jaro 22
W
03.05.26KAK
Jaro 21
Vaajakoski0
W
22.04.26KAK
SJK Akatemia 23
Jaro 24
W
17.04.26KAK
Jaro 26
Narpes Kraft5
W
Hercules
05.06.26KAK
Hercules1
VPS 25
L
27.05.26KAK
SJK Akatemia 23
Hercules0
L
23.05.26KAK
Hercules1
Narpes Kraft2
L
16.05.26KAK
JBK3
Hercules0
L
12.05.26CUP
Inter Turku8
Hercules0
L
09.05.26KAK
Hercules1
TP-472
L
02.05.26KAK
Hercules2
Huima / Urho1
W
29.04.26CUP
Lapua1
Hercules4
W
25.04.26KAK
Vaajakoski3
Hercules5
W
18.04.26KAK
Hercules4
GBK Kokkola0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Finland Kakkonen C fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.26 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 15 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Jaro 2 vs Hercules?
Our selection is 1 — Jaro 2 to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Jaro 2's current form?
Jaro 2 have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches.
How has Hercules been performing recently?
Hercules have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.7 goals per game.
⚠️
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