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WON Tip WON IFK Umea 1-5 Taftea IK
I

IFK Umea

Home
L L L L L
1W 1D 8L → Steady
VS
1-5
T
Taftea IK
Away
L W W W W
1W 1D 8L ▼ Declining
Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Selection
2
Backing Taftea IK to win
IFK Umea 20%
Draw 30%
Taftea IK 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob76.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-35.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #4DC544B1
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 4 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Taftea IK to win
1.30
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
IFK Umea vs Taftea IK Competition: Sweden Div 2 Norrland Date: Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Pick: 2 (Taftea IK to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 41% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Ticket #4DC544B1
Head to Head
Record
1
IFK Umea
2
Draws
5
Taftea IK
8
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Taftea IK won 5 of 8 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
IFK Umea
Metric
Taftea IK
0.8
Goals For / Game
0.3
2.6
Goals Against / Game
0
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
1-1-8
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate
10%
10%
1.9
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
I0
0-0 15.7%
0-1 22.8%
0-2 16.5%
0-3 8.0%
0-4 2.9%
0-5 0.8%
I1
1-0 6.3%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 6.6%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
I2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 1.8%
2-2 1.3%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.1%
I3
3-0 0.2%
3-1 0.2%
3-2 0.2%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
I4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(22.8%) 0-2(16.5%) 0-3(8.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
IFK Umea Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Taftea IK Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
IFK Umea
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
1.3
Taftea IK
Overall
1.3
Scoring
1.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 25%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.04.26DIV
Taftea IK3
IFK Umea0
02.11.24DIV
Taftea IK3
IFK Umea1
26.10.24DIV
IFK Umea0
Taftea IK1
03.10.20DIV
IFK Umea0
Taftea IK1
21.09.19DIV
IFK Umea1
Taftea IK1
30.05.19DIV
Taftea IK0
IFK Umea0
14.09.18DIV
Taftea IK2
IFK Umea3
25.05.18DIV
IFK Umea1
Taftea IK2
Recent Form
IFK Umea
30.05.26DIV
IFK Lulea6
IFK Umea1
L
23.05.26DIV
IFK Umea0
Boden1
L
17.05.26DIV
Storfors3
IFK Umea1
L
06.05.26DIV
IFK Umea1
Umea FC Akademi4
L
02.05.26DIV
IFK Umea0
Skelleftea5
L
25.04.26DIV
Taftea IK3
IFK Umea0
L
18.04.26DIV
IFK Umea1
IFK Lulea2
L
11.04.26DIV
Boden2
IFK Umea0
L
15.03.26CF
Pitea2
IFK Umea0
L
01.11.25DIV
Kiruna1
IFK Umea1
D
Taftea IK
30.05.26DIV
IFK Lulea6
IFK Umea1
L
23.05.26DIV
IFK Umea0
Boden1
L
17.05.26DIV
Storfors3
IFK Umea1
L
06.05.26DIV
IFK Umea1
Umea FC Akademi4
L
02.05.26DIV
IFK Umea0
Skelleftea5
L
25.04.26DIV
Taftea IK3
IFK Umea0
L
18.04.26DIV
IFK Umea1
IFK Lulea2
L
11.04.26DIV
Boden2
IFK Umea0
L
15.03.26CF
Pitea2
IFK Umea0
L
01.11.25DIV
Kiruna1
IFK Umea1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Sweden Div 2 Norrland fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.30 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 4 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for IFK Umea vs Taftea IK?
Our selection is 2 — Taftea IK to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is IFK Umea's current form?
IFK Umea have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Taftea IK been performing recently?
Taftea IK have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
IFK Umea lead with 1 wins versus Taftea IK's 5, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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