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WON Tip WON FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk 3-1 Away
F

FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk

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W L D W D
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
3-1
A
Away
Away
L W L L D
1W 4D 5L → Steady
Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Selection
1
Backing FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk to win
FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk 50%
Draw 30%
Away 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob74.1%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-17.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #21A7408C
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 4 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk to win
1.35
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk vs Away Competition: Czech 4 Liga Date: Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Pick: 1 (FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 57% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (70%) Ticket #21A7408C
Head to Head
Record
7
FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk
2
Draws
0
Away
9
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
44%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk won 7 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk
Metric
Away
2
Goals For / Game
0
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-3-2
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate
50%
10%
1.6
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
F0
0-0 20.2%
0-1 12.1%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 20.2%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 3.6%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 6.1%
2-2 1.8%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(20.2%) 2-0(10.1%) 2-1(6.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Away Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
Away
Overall
2.2
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 26%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 26%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.10.254L
Sternberk1
FK Kozlovice1
30.04.254L
Sternberk3
FK Kozlovice2
11.08.244L
FK Kozlovice1
Sternberk0
16.03.244L
Sternberk0
FK Kozlovice3
13.08.234L
FK Kozlovice3
Sternberk1
04.06.234L
FK Kozlovice0
Sternberk0
22.10.224L
Sternberk0
FK Kozlovice1
28.04.184L
Sternberk2
FK Kozlovice3
24.09.174L
FK Kozlovice1
Sternberk0
Recent Form
FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk
31.05.264L
FK Kozlovice3
Kromeriz B0
W
23.05.264L
Uhersky Brod1
FK Kozlovice0
L
08.05.264L
Slavicin0
FK Kozlovice0
D
03.05.264L
FK Kozlovice5
Brumov1
W
25.04.264L
Holesov1
FK Kozlovice1
D
19.04.264L
FK Kozlovice4
Strani2
W
12.04.264L
Lanzhot3
FK Kozlovice0
L
05.04.264L
FK Kozlovice3
Batov1
W
29.03.264L
Vsechovice1
FK Kozlovice1
D
22.03.264L
FK Kozlovice3
Bzenec2
W
Away
30.05.264L
Sternberk0
Breclav2
L
24.05.264L
Kromeriz B2
Sternberk5
W
12.05.264L
Sternberk1
Vsechovice4
L
09.05.264L
Sternberk1
Brumov3
L
01.05.264L
Strani1
Sternberk1
D
25.04.264L
Sternberk1
Batov1
D
18.04.264L
Bzenec3
Sternberk1
L
11.04.264L
Sternberk0
Nove Sady0
D
05.04.264L
Skastice0
Sternberk0
D
28.03.264L
Sternberk0
Uhersky Brod2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Czech 4 Liga fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.35 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 4 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk vs Away?
Our selection is 1 — FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk's current form?
FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Away been performing recently?
Away have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FK Kozlovicevs Sternberk lead with 7 wins versus Away's 0, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 44%.
⚠️
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