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WON Tip WON Chertanovo M. 3-1 Yenisey 2
C

Chertanovo M.

Home
W L W W W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-1
Y
Yenisey 2
Away
L L W L D
2W 1D 7L ▲ Improving
Sunday, 14th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Chertanovo M. to win
Chertanovo M. 50%
Draw 30%
Yenisey 2 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob79.4%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-23.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #3B55984D
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 15 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Chertanovo M. to win
1.26
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Chertanovo M. vs Yenisey 2 Competition: Russia FNL 2 - Div B Date: Sunday, 14th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Chertanovo M. to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 56% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ticket #3B55984D
Head to Head
Record
5
Chertanovo M.
1
Draws
2
Yenisey 2
8
Meetings
4.3
Avg Goals
75%
BTTS
88%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Chertanovo M. won 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chertanovo M.
Metric
Yenisey 2
1.7
Goals For / Game
1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
C0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 13.0%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 11.4%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.0%) 2-0(11.4%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   Y=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Chertanovo M. Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Yenisey 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Chertanovo M.
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.7
Yenisey 2
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.11.25FNL2B
Yenisey 22
Chertanovo M.2
30.03.25FNL2B
Chertanovo M.1
Yenisey 20
13.10.24FNL2B
Yenisey 21
Chertanovo M.2
25.06.24FNL2B
Chertanovo M.4
Yenisey 21
15.05.23FNL2
Chertanovo M.6
Yenisey 22
13.04.23FNL2
Yenisey 21
Chertanovo M.5
10.11.21FNL2
Yenisey 23
Chertanovo M.0
21.09.21FNL2
Chertanovo M.1
Yenisey 23
Recent Form
Chertanovo M.
31.05.26FNL2B
Kosmos0
Chertanovo M.3
W
24.05.26FNL2B
Chertanovo M.0
Dynamo SPB1
L
17.05.26FNL2B
Cherepovets1
Chertanovo M.3
W
10.05.26FNL2B
Chertanovo M.2
Spartak Moscow 20
W
03.05.26FNL2B
Tver0
Chertanovo M.2
W
26.04.26FNL2B
Chertanovo M.3
Iskra Smolensk0
W
19.04.26FNL2B
Murom1
Chertanovo M.1
D
12.04.26FNL2B
Chertanovo M.1
Luki-Energiya3
L
04.04.26FNL2B
Zvezda St. Peterburg0
Chertanovo M.0
D
29.03.26FNL2B
Chertanovo M.2
Vladimir1
W
Yenisey 2
07.06.26FNL2B
Yenisey 21
Kosmos2
L
30.05.26FNL2B
Dynamo SPB2
Yenisey 20
L
24.05.26FNL2B
Yenisey 24
Cherepovets2
W
17.05.26FNL2B
Spartak Moscow 22
Yenisey 21
L
10.05.26FNL2B
Yenisey 21
Tver1
D
02.05.26FNL2B
Iskra Smolensk2
Yenisey 20
L
26.04.26FNL2B
Yenisey 20
Murom1
L
19.04.26FNL2B
Luki-Energiya3
Yenisey 20
L
12.04.26FNL2B
Yenisey 22
Zvezda St. Peterburg1
W
05.04.26FNL2B
Vladimir2
Yenisey 21
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Russia FNL 2 – Div B fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.26 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 15 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chertanovo M. vs Yenisey 2?
Our selection is 1 — Chertanovo M. to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Chertanovo M.'s current form?
Chertanovo M. have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Yenisey 2 been performing recently?
Yenisey 2 have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chertanovo M. lead with 5 wins versus Yenisey 2's 2, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
⚠️
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