×
B

Badalona W

Home
D L L L W
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
R
Real Madrid W
Away
W W D W L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
Tuesday, 26th May 2026 Selection
2
Backing Real Madrid W to win
Badalona W 20%
Draw 30%
Real Madrid W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob74.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-11.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #6ABD744D
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 26 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Real Madrid W to win
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Badalona W vs Real Madrid W Competition: La Liga F Women Date: Tuesday, 26th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Real Madrid W to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ticket #6ABD744D
Head to Head
Record
0
Badalona W
0
Draws
7
Real Madrid W
7
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
57%
BTTS
86%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Real Madrid W won 7 of 7 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Badalona W
Metric
Real Madrid W
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
2.5
Goals Against / Game
1.7
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
30%
50%
3.5
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
B0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 5.5%
0-3 3.5%
0-4 1.6%
0-5 0.6%
B1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.6%
1-5 1.0%
B2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
B3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
B4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
B5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.7%) 0-1(5.7%) 1-3(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Badalona W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Real Madrid W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Badalona W
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
1.7
Real Madrid W
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.10.25LF
Real Madrid W3
Badalona0
16.02.25LF
Real Madrid W3
Badalona2
09.11.24LF
Badalona W1
Real Madrid3
28.04.24LF
Real Madrid W2
Badalona1
17.12.23LF
Badalona W0
Real Madrid2
31.03.23LF
Real Madrid W3
Badalona0
03.12.22LF
Badalona W1
Real Madrid4
Recent Form
Badalona W
09.05.26LF
Espanyol W1
Badalona W1
D
02.05.26LF
Badalona W0
Athletic Bilbao W1
L
25.04.26LF
Badalona W2
Atl. Madrid W4
L
06.04.26LF
Barcelona W6
Badalona W0
L
28.03.26LF
Badalona W3
Alhama W2
W
22.03.26LF
Sevilla FC W1
Badalona W5
W
18.03.26CDR
Barcelona W4
Badalona W1
L
15.03.26LF
Badalona W0
Granada CF W4
L
12.03.26CDR
Badalona W0
Barcelona W0
D
21.02.26LF
DUX Logrono W2
Badalona W3
W
Real Madrid W
10.05.26LF
Real Madrid W1
Atl. Madrid W0
W
02.05.26LF
Sevilla FC W0
Real Madrid W2
W
26.04.26LF
Real Madrid W1
DUX Logrono W1
D
05.04.26LF
Madrid C. W0
Real Madrid W2
W
02.04.26CL
Barcelona W6
Real Madrid W0
L
29.03.26LF
Real Madrid W0
Barcelona W3
L
25.03.26CL
Real Madrid W2
Barcelona W6
L
22.03.26LF
Eibar W0
Real Madrid W1
W
14.03.26LF
Real Sociedad W0
Real Madrid W3
W
22.02.26LF
Real Madrid W2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this La Liga F Women fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.34 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 26 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Badalona W vs Real Madrid W?
Our selection is 2 — Real Madrid W to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Badalona W's current form?
Badalona W have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Real Madrid W been performing recently?
Real Madrid W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Badalona W lead with 0 wins versus Real Madrid W's 7, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
⚠️
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