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WON Tip WON Azam 2-0 Tanzania Prisons
A

Azam

Home
W W L W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
T
Tanzania Prisons
Away
W L L L D
1W 2D 7L → Steady
Friday, 22nd May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Azam to win
Azam 60%
Draw 20%
Tanzania Prisons 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob87%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-40%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #CC35EAD8
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 22 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Azam to win
1.15
BTTS — No75% Azam Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Azam vs Tanzania Prisons Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Friday, 22nd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Azam to win) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 47% Also: BTTS — No (75%) Also: Azam Clean Sheet (80%) Ticket #CC35EAD8
Head to Head
Record
0
Azam
9
Draws
1
Tanzania Prisons
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Azam won 0 of the last 10 meetings (9 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Azam
Metric
Tanzania Prisons
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.4
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.8
80%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
70%
10%
2.2
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
A0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 1.1%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 19.4%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 2.0%
1-3 0.3%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 17.0%
2-1 7.6%
2-2 1.7%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 9.9%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 4.3%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(19.4%) 2-0(17.0%) 3-0(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Azam Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Tanzania Prisons Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Azam
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.3
Tanzania Prisons
Overall
1.6
Scoring
1.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 53%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Fountain Gate0
10.05.26LKB
Simba4
Tanzania Prisons0
04.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Mbeya City2
01.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
TRA United3
14.04.26LKB
Kinondoni MC1
Tanzania Prisons1
04.04.26LKB
Young Africans3
Tanzania Prisons0
18.03.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Singida Black Stars2
12.03.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
Young Africans1
05.03.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
Azam0
22.02.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
Simba2
Recent Form
Azam
17.05.26FAC
Mashujaa0
Azam1
W
14.05.26LKB
Azam2
Pamba0
W
08.05.26LKB
TRA United4
Azam1
L
05.05.26LKB
Azam1
Namungo0
W
02.05.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar0
Azam3
W
17.04.26LKB
Azam3
JKT Tanzania0
W
12.04.26FAC
Azam4
Fountain Gate0
W
09.04.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Azam0
D
05.04.26LKB
Azam0
Simba0
D
01.04.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Azam2
W
Tanzania Prisons
14.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Fountain Gate0
W
10.05.26LKB
Simba4
Tanzania Prisons0
L
04.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Mbeya City2
L
01.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
TRA United3
L
14.04.26LKB
Kinondoni MC1
Tanzania Prisons1
D
04.04.26LKB
Young Africans3
Tanzania Prisons0
L
18.03.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Singida Black Stars2
L
12.03.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
Young Africans1
L
05.03.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
Azam0
D
22.02.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
Simba2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.15 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 22 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Azam vs Tanzania Prisons?
Our selection is 1 — Azam to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Azam's current form?
Azam have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tanzania Prisons been performing recently?
Tanzania Prisons have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Azam lead with 0 wins versus Tanzania Prisons's 1, with 9 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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