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WON Tip WON Dalstorps 4-0 Astrio
D

Dalstorps

Home
W W D W L
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
4-0
A
Astrio
Away
L L D L W
1W 2D 7L ▼ Declining
Thursday, 18th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Dalstorps to win
Dalstorps 50%
Draw 30%
Astrio 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.8%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-22.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #23AF4960
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 19 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Dalstorps
0
Draws
1
Astrio
2
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Dalstorps won 1 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dalstorps
Metric
Astrio
2
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
D0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.7%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dalstorps Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Astrio Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dalstorps
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
Astrio
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.11.21DIV
Astrio3
Dalstorps2
04.09.21DIV
Dalstorps2
Astrio0
Recent Form
Dalstorps
11.06.26DIV
Hestrafors2
Dalstorps3
W
07.06.26DIV
Dalstorps3
Onsala1
W
31.05.26DIV
Frolunda1
Dalstorps1
D
23.05.26DIV
Kongahalla1
Dalstorps3
W
16.05.26DIV
Dalstorps2
Astorps4
L
08.05.26DIV
Dalstorps1
Landvetter0
W
01.05.26DIV
Jonsereds1
Dalstorps1
D
25.04.26DIV
Dalstorps1
Galtabacks0
W
17.04.26DIV
Lindome1
Dalstorps1
D
11.04.26DIV
Dalstorps4
Qviding1
W
Astrio
11.06.26DIV
Astrio1
Lindome2
L
05.06.26DIV
Boljan3
Astrio1
L
30.05.26DIV
Onsala0
Astrio0
D
24.05.26DIV
Astrio0
Landvetter2
L
17.05.26DIV
Astrio2
Galtabacks1
W
09.05.26DIV
Frolunda5
Astrio3
L
03.05.26DIV
Astrio0
Qviding3
L
26.04.26DIV
Torslanda2
Astrio0
L
19.04.26DIV
Hestrafors0
Astrio0
D
11.04.26DIV
Astrio0
Jonsereds1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Sweden Div 2 Västra Götaland fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.32 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 19 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dalstorps vs Astrio?
Our selection is 1 — Dalstorps to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Dalstorps's current form?
Dalstorps have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Astrio been performing recently?
Astrio have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dalstorps lead with 1 wins versus Astrio's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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