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WON Tip WON Karlskrona 3-1 IFK Karlshamn
K

Karlskrona

Home
W L L D W
5W 2D 3L → Steady
VS
3-1
I
IFK Karlshamn
Away
L W D L L
2W 1D 7L ▼ Declining
Thursday, 18th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Karlskrona to win
Karlskrona 50%
Draw 30%
IFK Karlshamn 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob82.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-28.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #151B5FAA
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 19 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Karlskrona to win
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Karlskrona vs IFK Karlshamn Competition: Swe Div 2 Sodra Gotaland Date: Thursday, 18th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Karlskrona to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 54% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ticket #151B5FAA
Head to Head
Record
4
Karlskrona
0
Draws
2
IFK Karlshamn
6
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Karlskrona won 4 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Karlskrona
Metric
IFK Karlshamn
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
50%
20%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
K0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 6.2%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 8.7%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
K2
2-0 7.6%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
K3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
K5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.7%) 2-0(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   I=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Karlskrona Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
IFK Karlshamn Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Karlskrona
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.3
IFK Karlshamn
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.06.25DIV
IFK Karlshamn0
Karlskrona4
18.04.25DIV
Karlskrona3
IFK Karlshamn1
13.09.24DIV
Karlskrona4
IFK Karlshamn1
17.05.24DIV
IFK Karlshamn2
Karlskrona1
04.08.21DIV
Karlskrona4
IFK Karlshamn0
09.06.21DIV
IFK Karlshamn2
Karlskrona1
Recent Form
Karlskrona
14.06.26DIV
Linero IF2
Karlskrona4
W
10.06.26CUP
Football Primetime1
Karlskrona0
L
06.06.26DIV
Nosaby3
Karlskrona1
L
31.05.26DIV
Karlskrona1
Lilla Torg1
D
24.05.26DIV
Oskarshamn0
Karlskrona3
W
16.05.26DIV
Karlskrona1
Staffanstorp United1
D
08.05.26DIV
Rappe GOIF1
Karlskrona2
W
01.05.26DIV
Karlskrona1
Solvesborgs0
W
25.04.26DIV
Vaxjo Norra4
Karlskrona0
L
19.04.26DIV
Karlskrona3
Osterlen1
W
IFK Karlshamn
12.06.26DIV
IFK Karlshamn0
Solvesborgs2
L
07.06.26DIV
IFK Karlshamn2
Lilla Torg0
W
30.05.26DIV
Nosaby2
IFK Karlshamn2
D
22.05.26DIV
IFK Karlshamn1
Vaxjo Norra2
L
14.05.26DIV
IFK Karlshamn1
Oskarshamn5
L
10.05.26DIV
Staffanstorp United1
IFK Karlshamn2
W
02.05.26DIV
IFK Karlshamn1
Linero IF2
L
25.04.26DIV
IFK Trelleborg2
IFK Karlshamn1
L
19.04.26DIV
IFK Karlshamn0
IFK Berga1
L
11.04.26DIV
Torns2
IFK Karlshamn1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Swe Div 2 Sodra Gotaland fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.21 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 19 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Karlskrona vs IFK Karlshamn?
Our selection is 1 — Karlskrona to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Karlskrona's current form?
Karlskrona have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has IFK Karlshamn been performing recently?
IFK Karlshamn have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Karlskrona lead with 4 wins versus IFK Karlshamn's 2, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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