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WON Tip WON Altai W 1-4 Yelimay Semey W
A

Altai W

Home
L L L L L
0W 1D 5L → Steady
VS
1-4
Y
Yelimay Semey W
Away
W L W L L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Selection
2
Backing Yelimay Semey W to win
Altai W 20%
Draw 30%
Yelimay Semey W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob74.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-24.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #8B74F710
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 17 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Yelimay Semey W to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals69% BTTS — No73%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Altai W vs Yelimay Semey W Competition: Kazakhstan Women League Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: 2 (Yelimay Semey W to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (69%) Also: BTTS — No (73%) Ticket #8B74F710
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Altai W
Metric
Yelimay Semey W
0.7
Goals For / Game
2.4
2.8
Goals Against / Game
1.7
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
0-1-5
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
0%
50%
3.9
Avg Goals
69%
Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
A0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 7.6%
0-3 6.6%
0-4 4.3%
0-5 2.2%
A1
1-0 2.7%
1-1 7.0%
1-2 9.1%
1-3 7.9%
1-4 5.1%
1-5 2.7%
A2
2-0 1.6%
2-1 4.2%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 4.7%
2-4 3.1%
2-5 1.6%
A3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.7%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.6%
A4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(9.1%) 1-3(7.9%) 0-2(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   Y=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Altai W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Yelimay Semey W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Altai W
Overall
0.5
Scoring
2.2
Defence
0.6
Yelimay Semey W
Overall
5.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 59%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 55%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Altai W
09.06.26LW
Zhenis Astana W5
Altai W0
L
26.05.26LW
FC Astana W3
Altai W1
L
19.05.26LW
Altai W0
Ertis Pavlodar W1
L
12.05.26LW
Tobol W4
Altai W0
L
05.05.26LW
Altai W0
Shakhter Karagandy W1
L
28.04.26LW
Altai W3
Kyzylzhar W3
D
Yelimay Semey W
09.06.26LW
Yelimay Semey W1
Kyzylzhar W0
W
26.05.26LW
Aktobe W5
Yelimay Semey W0
L
19.05.26LW
Yelimay Semey W9
Okzhetpes W0
W
12.05.26LW
FC Astana W4
Yelimay Semey W0
L
05.05.26LW
Yelimay Semey W0
Tobol W1
L
28.04.26LW
Shakhter Karagandy W0
Yelimay Semey W7
W
12.10.25LW
Tomiris-Turan W4
Yelimay Semey W0
L
06.10.25LW
Yelimay Semey W4
Atyrau W1
W
01.10.25LW
Zhenis Astana W2
Yelimay Semey W2
D
22.09.25LW
Yelimay Semey W1
Kaisar Kyzylorda W0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Kazakhstan Women League fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.34 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 17 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Altai W vs Yelimay Semey W?
Our selection is 2 — Yelimay Semey W to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Altai W's current form?
Altai W have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
How has Yelimay Semey W been performing recently?
Yelimay Semey W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game.
⚠️
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