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WON Tip WON Azam 2-0 Mashujaa
A

Azam

Home
W W W W W
9W 0D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
M
Mashujaa
Away
L L D L L
1W 5D 4L ▼ Declining
Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Azam to win
Azam 60%
Draw 20%
Mashujaa 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob82.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-15.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #889FA19A
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 17 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Azam to win
1.21
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No85% Azam Clean Sheet90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Azam vs Mashujaa Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Azam to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 67% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (85%) Also: Azam Clean Sheet (90%) Ticket #889FA19A
Head to Head
Record
3
Azam
3
Draws
0
Mashujaa
6
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
17%
Over 2.5
Neutral Azam won 3 of the last 6 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Azam
Metric
Mashujaa
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.3
0.4
Goals Against / Game
0.9
90%
Clean Sheets
40%
9-0-1
W — D — L
1-5-4
Win Rate
90%
10%
1.9
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
A0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 0.9%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 23.2%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 1.4%
1-3 0.2%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 18.0%
2-1 6.3%
2-2 1.1%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 9.3%
3-1 3.3%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 3.6%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(23.2%) 2-0(18.0%) 3-0(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Azam Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Mashujaa Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Azam
Overall
9.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.7
Mashujaa
Overall
2.5
Scoring
1.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 61%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 1%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 50%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 2%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.05.26FAC
Mashujaa0
Azam1
19.03.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Azam0
15.02.25LKB
Azam2
Mashujaa0
29.09.24LKB
Mashujaa0
Azam0
17.04.24LKB
Azam0
Mashujaa0
01.11.23LKB
Mashujaa0
Azam3
Recent Form
Azam
12.06.26LKB
Fountain Gate0
Azam2
W
25.05.26LKB
Azam3
Kinondoni MC0
W
22.05.26LKB
Azam2
Tanzania Prisons0
W
17.05.26FAC
Mashujaa0
Azam1
W
14.05.26LKB
Azam2
Pamba0
W
08.05.26LKB
TRA United4
Azam1
L
05.05.26LKB
Azam1
Namungo0
W
02.05.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar0
Azam3
W
17.04.26LKB
Azam3
JKT Tanzania0
W
12.04.26FAC
Azam4
Fountain Gate0
W
Mashujaa
13.06.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Young Africans2
L
24.05.26LKB
Coastal Union1
Mashujaa0
L
20.05.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji1
Mashujaa1
D
17.05.26FAC
Mashujaa0
Azam1
L
14.05.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Simba3
L
08.05.26LKB
Namungo0
Mashujaa0
D
04.05.26LKB
Mashujaa1
TRA United0
W
30.04.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Mashujaa0
D
16.04.26LKB
Mashujaa1
Singida Black Stars1
D
10.04.26FAC
Geita Gold0
Mashujaa (pen 2-4)0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.21 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 17 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Azam vs Mashujaa?
Our selection is 1 — Azam to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Azam's current form?
Azam have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mashujaa been performing recently?
Mashujaa have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Azam lead with 3 wins versus Mashujaa's 0, with 3 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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