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WON Tip WON Tammeka U21 3-2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
T

Tammeka U21

Home
W W D W L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
P
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Away
L L W W W
6W 1D 3L → Steady
Monday, 1st June 2026 Selection
1X
Backing Tammeka U21 to win or draw
Implied Prob87%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+3%Value detected
Kelly %23.3%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #1C436679
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 1 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Tammeka U21 to win or draw
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals85% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Tammeka U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Competition: Estonia Esiliiga B Date: Monday, 1st June 2026 Pick: 1X (Tammeka U21 to win or draw) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (85%) Ticket #1C436679
Head to Head
Record
0
Tammeka U21
0
Draws
1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1
Meetings
9
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Tammeka U21
Metric
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.9
2.1
Goals Against / Game
2
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-1-4
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
50%
60%
4.4
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
T0
0-0 1.3%
0-1 3.2%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 3.4%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 1.1%
T1
1-0 2.4%
1-1 6.0%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 6.2%
1-4 3.9%
1-5 1.9%
T2
2-0 2.2%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 5.8%
2-4 3.6%
2-5 1.8%
T3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 3.6%
3-4 2.2%
3-5 1.1%
T4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.6%
4-4 1.0%
4-5 0.5%
T5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-2(6.9%) 1-1(6.0%) 2-1(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Tammeka U21
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
3.0
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Overall
6.3
Scoring
9.7
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 43%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.05.26ESB
Parnu JK Vaprus U217
Tammeka U212
Recent Form
Tammeka U21
28.05.26ESB
Tallinna Kalev U210
Tammeka U211
W
24.05.26ESB
Tammeka U212
Narva U211
W
16.05.26ESB
Tartu Kalev2
Tammeka U212
D
09.05.26ESB
Tammeka U211
Legion2
L
03.05.26ESB
Parnu JK Vaprus U217
Tammeka U212
L
26.04.26ESB
Tammeka U213
Tulevik1
W
23.04.26ESB
Narva U214
Tammeka U211
L
19.04.26ESB
Tammeka U210
Tartu Kalev1
L
11.04.26ESB
Tammeka U213
Tallinna Kalev U212
W
05.04.26ESB
Legion1
Tammeka U212
W
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
28.05.26ESB
Tulevik3
Parnu JK Vaprus U211
L
25.05.26ESB
Johvi Phoenix4
Parnu JK Vaprus U213
L
17.05.26ESB
Parnu JK Vaprus U214
Narva U210
W
10.05.26ESB
Tartu Kalev1
Parnu JK Vaprus U212
W
03.05.26ESB
Parnu JK Vaprus U217
Tammeka U212
W
28.04.26ESB
Tallinna Kalev U212
Parnu JK Vaprus U213
W
23.04.26ESB
Tulevik5
Parnu JK Vaprus U213
L
19.04.26ESB
Parnu JK Vaprus U211
Legion1
D
11.04.26ESB
Tabasalu1
Parnu JK Vaprus U212
W
03.04.26ESB
Parnu JK Vaprus U213
Johvi Phoenix1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Estonia Esiliiga B fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1X, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.15 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 1 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Tammeka U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
Our selection is 1X — Tammeka U21 to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Tammeka U21's current form?
Tammeka U21 have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Parnu JK Vaprus U21 been performing recently?
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tammeka U21 lead with 0 wins versus Parnu JK Vaprus U21's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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