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LOST Tip LOST KFG Gardabaer 4-3 Fjolnir
K

KFG Gardabaer

Home
L L W L L
1W 3D 6L → Steady
VS
4-3
F
Fjolnir
Away
W L W W L
6W 0D 4L ▼ Declining
Monday, 1st June 2026 Selection
2
Backing Fjolnir to win
KFG Gardabaer 20%
Draw 30%
Fjolnir 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob73%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-19%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #11E38A73
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 1 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Fjolnir to win
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals95% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
KFG Gardabaer vs Fjolnir Competition: Iceland Division 2 Date: Monday, 1st June 2026 Pick: 2 (Fjolnir to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 54% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (95%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (95%) Ticket #11E38A73
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
KFG Gardabaer
Metric
Fjolnir
1.6
Goals For / Game
3
2.7
Goals Against / Game
2.3
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
1-3-6
W — D — L
6-0-4
Win Rate
10%
60%
4.8
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
95%
Over 2.5
95%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
K0
0-0 0.8%
0-1 2.4%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 3.2%
0-4 2.3%
0-5 1.3%
K1
1-0 1.6%
1-1 4.6%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 6.2%
1-4 4.4%
1-5 2.5%
K2
2-0 1.6%
2-1 4.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 6.0%
2-4 4.3%
2-5 2.5%
K3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 3.9%
3-4 2.8%
3-5 1.6%
K4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.9%
4-4 1.4%
4-5 0.8%
K5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.8%
5-4 0.5%
5-5 0.3%
Top Scores 1-2(6.5%) 1-3(6.2%) 2-3(6.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
KFG Gardabaer Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Fjolnir Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
KFG Gardabaer
Overall
1.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
1.0
Fjolnir
Overall
6.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 1%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 67%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 1%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 67%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
KFG Gardabaer
21.05.26D2
KFG Gardabaer0
Haukar4
L
16.05.26D2
KFG Gardabaer1
Magni2
L
09.05.26D2
KFG Gardabaer3
Throttur Vogar1
W
02.05.26D2
Kari5
KFG Gardabaer1
L
19.03.26CUP
KFG Gardabaer2
Vidir3
L
13.09.25D2
KFG Gardabaer2
KFA2
D
06.09.25D2
Kormakur/Hvot3
KFG Gardabaer1
L
30.08.25D2
Vidir2
KFG Gardabaer2
D
23.08.25D2
KFG Gardabaer1
Dalvik/Reynir1
D
17.08.25D2
Kari4
KFG Gardabaer3
L
Fjolnir
23.05.26D2
Fjolnir5
Olafsvik1
W
15.05.26D2
Haukar3
Fjolnir1
L
09.05.26D2
Fjolnir2
Dalvik/Reynir1
W
01.05.26D2
Fjolnir4
Magni1
W
06.04.26CUP
Fjolnir3
Kopavogur4
L
01.04.26CUP
Fjolnir2
Vidir1
W
18.03.26CUP
Alafoss1
Fjolnir4
W
19.01.26CUP
Fjolnir3
Vikingur Reykjavik4
L
14.01.26CUP
Leiknir3
Fjolnir4
W
08.01.26CUP
IR Reykjavik4
Fjolnir2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Iceland Division 2 fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.37 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 1 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KFG Gardabaer vs Fjolnir?
Our selection is 2 — Fjolnir to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is KFG Gardabaer's current form?
KFG Gardabaer have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Fjolnir been performing recently?
Fjolnir have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.8 goals per game.
⚠️
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