×
WON Tip WON Llaneros W 0-5 Dep Cali W
L

Llaneros W

Home
L W L W D
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
0-5
D
Dep Cali W
Away
W W W W L
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
Friday, 15th May 2026 Selection
2
Backing Dep Cali W to win
Llaneros W 20%
Draw 30%
Dep Cali W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob74.1%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-6.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #066FD357
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 16 May 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Dep Cali W to win
1.35
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Llaneros W vs Dep Cali W Competition: Colombia Liga Women Date: Friday, 15th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Dep Cali W to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 68% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ticket #066FD357
Head to Head
Record
0
Llaneros W
0
Draws
5
Dep Cali W
5
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Dep Cali W won 5 of 5 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Llaneros W
Metric
Dep Cali W
0.8
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0.5
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-3-4
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
30%
70%
2.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
L0
0-0 11.7%
0-1 17.5%
0-2 13.1%
0-3 6.6%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 0.7%
L1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 8.5%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
L2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 3.7%
2-2 2.8%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 0.5%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(17.5%) 0-2(13.1%) 1-2(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Llaneros W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Dep Cali W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Llaneros W
Overall
3.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.0
Dep Cali W
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
8.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 36%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 39%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.07.24LW
Llaneros W0
Dep. Cali1
15.06.24LW
Dep. Cali W3
Llaneros1
18.03.24LW
Dep. Cali W3
Llaneros0
16.04.23LW
Dep. Cali W3
Llaneros1
14.03.22LW
Dep. Cali W1
Llaneros0
Recent Form
Llaneros W
08.05.26LW
Inter Bogotá W2
Llaneros W0
L
01.05.26LW
Llaneros W2
Junior W1
W
23.04.26LW
Millonarios W4
Llaneros W0
L
12.04.26LW
Llaneros W2
Inter Palmira W0
W
30.03.26LW
Real Santander W0
Llaneros W0
D
25.03.26LW
Llaneros W1
Orsomarso W1
D
15.03.26LW
Ind. Medellin W2
Llaneros W1
L
10.03.26LW
Llaneros W0
Fortaleza W2
L
01.03.26LW
Junior W0
Llaneros W0
D
18.02.26LW
Llaneros W2
Dep. Pasto W0
W
Dep Cali W
09.05.26LW
Dep. Cali W4
Real Santander W0
W
03.05.26LW
America de Cali W0
Dep. Cali W1
W
23.04.26LW
Dep. Cali W2
Junior W0
W
15.04.26LW
Once Caldas W0
Dep. Cali W2
W
29.03.26LW
Dep. Cali W0
Inter Palmira W1
L
23.03.26LW
Santa Fe W1
Dep. Cali W1
D
17.03.26LW
Fortaleza W1
Dep. Cali W3
W
09.03.26LW
Dep. Cali W1
Inter Bogotá W0
W
01.03.26LW
Orsomarso W1
Dep. Cali W1
D
14.02.26LW
Dep. Cali W3
Ind. Medellin W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Colombia Liga Women fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 2, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.35 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 16 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Llaneros W vs Dep Cali W?
Our selection is 2 — Dep Cali W to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Llaneros W's current form?
Llaneros W have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dep Cali W been performing recently?
Dep Cali W have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Llaneros W lead with 0 wins versus Dep Cali W's 5, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. BettingProfessional1x2 provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.