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WON Tip WON Osasco Sporting U20 4-3 Santo Andre U20
O

Osasco Sporting U20

Home
W W L D W
4W 4D 2L → Steady
VS
4-3
S
Santo Andre U20
Away
L L L W W
2W 4D 4L ▼ Declining
Thursday, 11th June 2026 Selection
1X
Backing Osasco Sporting U20 to win or draw
Implied Prob87.7%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+2.3%Value detected
Kelly %18.6%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #78D0711B
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 12 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Osasco Sporting U20
1
Draws
0
Santo Andre U20
2
Meetings
4.5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Osasco Sporting U20
Metric
Santo Andre U20
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.3
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-4-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
O0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 8.9%
0-2 5.4%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
O1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
O2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
O3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
O4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.5%) 1-0(10.4%) 2-1(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Osasco Sporting U20
Overall
5.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
Santo Andre U20
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 26%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 22%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.09.25PAU
Santo Andre U201
Osasco Sporting U204
05.09.25PAU
Osasco Sporting U202
Santo Andre U202
Recent Form
Osasco Sporting U20
04.06.26PAU
Osasco Sporting U201
Velo Clube U200
W
29.05.26PAU
Aguai U201
Osasco Sporting U202
W
12.01.26CPH
Gremio Prudente U202
Osasco Sporting U200
L
09.01.26CPH
Osasco Sporting U201
Marica U201
D
06.01.26CPH
Aracatuba FC U201
Osasco Sporting U202
W
04.01.26CPH
Athletico-PR U201
Osasco Sporting U201
D
26.09.25PAU
Sao Paulo U204
Osasco Sporting U202
L
19.09.25PAU
Osasco Sporting U200
Sao Paulo U200
D
13.09.25PAU
Santo Andre U201
Osasco Sporting U204
W
05.09.25PAU
Osasco Sporting U202
Santo Andre U202
D
Santo Andre U20
05.06.26PAU
Santo Andre U200
Sao Paulo U201
L
29.05.26PAU
Desportivo U201
Santo Andre U200
L
15.01.26CPH
Santo Andre U201
Ibrachina U20 (aet, 3-5 pens)1
L
13.01.26CPH
Osasco Audax U200
Santo Andre U201
W
10.01.26CPH
Santo Andre U203
Ferroviario U200
W
07.01.26CPH
Ibrachina U201
Santo Andre U201
D
04.01.26CPH
Bangu U201
Santo Andre U201
D
13.09.25PAU
Santo Andre U201
Osasco Sporting U204
L
05.09.25PAU
Osasco Sporting U202
Santo Andre U202
D
12.08.25PAU
Portuguesa U202
Santo Andre U201
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Brazil Paulista U20 fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1X, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.14 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 12 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Osasco Sporting U20 vs Santo Andre U20?
Our selection is 1X — Osasco Sporting U20 to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Osasco Sporting U20's current form?
Osasco Sporting U20 have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Santo Andre U20 been performing recently?
Santo Andre U20 have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Osasco Sporting U20 lead with 1 wins versus Santo Andre U20's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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