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WON Tip WON Lipetsk 3-1 Arsenal Tula 2
L

Lipetsk

Home
D W D W L
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
3-1
A
Arsenal Tula 2
Away
D L L W W
2W 3D 5L ▼ Declining
Saturday, 6th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Lipetsk to win
Lipetsk 50%
Draw 30%
Arsenal Tula 2 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob72.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-17.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #CD23018E
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 7 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Lipetsk to win
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula 2 Competition: Russia FNL 2 - Div B Date: Saturday, 6th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Lipetsk to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ticket #CD23018E
Head to Head
Record
7
Lipetsk
2
Draws
1
Arsenal Tula 2
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Lipetsk won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lipetsk
Metric
Arsenal Tula 2
2
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-3-2
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
50%
20%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
L0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.7%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Lipetsk Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Arsenal Tula 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Lipetsk
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.3
Arsenal Tula 2
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.08.25FNL2B
Lipetsk1
Arsenal Tula 20
04.05.25FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 21
Lipetsk2
15.10.22FNL2
Lipetsk1
Arsenal Tula 20
15.08.22FNL2
Arsenal Tula 22
Lipetsk1
21.05.17FNL2
Lipetsk2
Arsenal Tula 22
02.09.16FNL2
Arsenal Tula 21
Lipetsk3
08.11.15FNL2
Lipetsk2
Arsenal Tula 21
17.08.15FNL2
Arsenal Tula 20
Lipetsk0
29.10.14FNL2
Arsenal Tula 21
Lipetsk5
02.08.14FNL2
Lipetsk2
Arsenal Tula 21
Recent Form
Lipetsk
30.05.26FNL2B
FK Strogino Moscow2
Lipetsk2
D
23.05.26FNL2B
Lipetsk4
SKA Khabarovsk 20
W
20.05.26FNL2B
Kursk1
Lipetsk1
D
16.05.26FNL2B
FK Shumbrat Saransk2
Lipetsk5
W
08.05.26FNL2B
Lipetsk0
Spartak Tambov1
L
25.04.26FNL2B
Lipetsk2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya1
W
18.04.26FNL2B
Ryazan2
Lipetsk1
L
11.04.26FNL2B
Lipetsk2
R. Volgograd 21
W
05.04.26FNL2B
Lipetsk2
Kvant0
W
28.03.26FNL2B
Lipetsk1
Salyut-Belgorod1
D
Arsenal Tula 2
31.05.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 21
Penza1
D
24.05.26FNL2B
Saturn Ramenskoye2
Arsenal Tula 21
L
16.05.26FNL2B
FK Strogino Moscow2
Arsenal Tula 20
L
10.05.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 25
SKA Khabarovsk 24
W
02.05.26FNL2B
FK Shumbrat Saransk2
Arsenal Tula 23
W
26.04.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 21
Spartak Tambov1
D
18.04.26FNL2B
Kursk1
Arsenal Tula 20
L
12.04.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 20
Volna Nizhegorodskaya3
L
03.04.26FNL2B
Ryazan0
Arsenal Tula 20
D
28.03.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 20
R. Volgograd 21
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Russia FNL 2 – Div B fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.38 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 7 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula 2?
Our selection is 1 — Lipetsk to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Lipetsk's current form?
Lipetsk have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arsenal Tula 2 been performing recently?
Arsenal Tula 2 have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lipetsk lead with 7 wins versus Arsenal Tula 2's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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