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WON Tip WON Haukar 2-2 Kormakur/Hvot
H

Haukar

Home
W W W W W
7W 0D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
2-2
K
Kormakur/Hvot
Away
W D W L W
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
Wednesday, 10th June 2026 Selection
1X
Backing Haukar to win or draw
Implied Prob87%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+3%Value detected
Kelly %23.3%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #F325845E
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 11 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Haukar to win or draw
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Haukar vs Kormakur/Hvot Competition: Iceland Division 2 Date: Wednesday, 10th June 2026 Pick: 1X (Haukar to win or draw) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ticket #F325845E
Head to Head
Record
2
Haukar
2
Draws
0
Kormakur/Hvot
4
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Haukar
Metric
Kormakur/Hvot
2.6
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.9
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-0-3
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
70%
50%
4.2
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
H0
0-0 1.6%
0-1 3.0%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
H1
1-0 3.6%
1-1 6.7%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.7%
H2
2-0 4.0%
2-1 7.6%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.6%
2-4 2.2%
2-5 0.8%
H3
3-0 3.0%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 5.4%
3-3 3.4%
3-4 1.6%
3-5 0.6%
H4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 3.0%
4-3 1.9%
4-4 0.9%
4-5 0.4%
H5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.9%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.6%) 2-2(7.2%) 1-1(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Haukar
Overall
7.0
Scoring
8.7
Defence
5.3
Kormakur/Hvot
Overall
5.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 45%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.08.25D2
Kormakur/Hvot2
Haukar2
09.06.25D2
Haukar2
Kormakur/Hvot1
31.07.24D2
Haukar5
Kormakur/Hvot1
25.05.24D2
Kormakur/Hvot1
Haukar1
Recent Form
Haukar
05.06.26D2
Hviti0
Haukar2
W
31.05.26D2
Haukar3
KFA2
W
21.05.26D2
KFG Gardabaer0
Haukar4
W
15.05.26D2
Haukar3
Fjolnir1
W
09.05.26D2
Haukar6
Magni1
W
01.05.26D2
Throttur Vogar2
Haukar1
L
06.04.26CUP
Akranes4
Haukar0
L
30.03.26CUP
Haukar3
KFR0
W
19.03.26CUP
Vaengirs2
Haukar3
W
13.09.25D2
Kari2
Haukar1
L
Kormakur/Hvot
05.06.26D2
Kormakur/Hvot7
Magni1
W
31.05.26D2
Throttur Vogar1
Kormakur/Hvot1
D
23.05.26D2
Kormakur/Hvot4
Kari1
W
16.05.26D2
Selfoss2
Kormakur/Hvot1
L
09.05.26D2
Olafsvik0
Kormakur/Hvot2
W
02.05.26D2
Dalvik/Reynir1
Kormakur/Hvot0
L
04.04.26CUP
Kormakur/Hvot1
Breidablik6
L
28.03.26CUP
Volsungur2
Kormakur/Hvot3
W
19.09.25FC
Tindastoll3
Kormakur/Hvot1
L
13.09.25D2
Hottur / Huginn2
Kormakur/Hvot4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Iceland Division 2 fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1X, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.15 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 11 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Haukar vs Kormakur/Hvot?
Our selection is 1X — Haukar to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Haukar's current form?
Haukar have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kormakur/Hvot been performing recently?
Kormakur/Hvot have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Haukar lead with 2 wins versus Kormakur/Hvot's 0, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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