×
A

Al Nahda

Home
L W D D D
4W 5D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
—
2:00 pm
—
N/A
S
Sur Club
Away
L W W L L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
Monday, 19th October 2026 Selection
1
Backing Al Nahda to win
Implied Prob71.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-17.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #A8B9064E
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 19 Oct 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Nahda to win
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Nahda vs Sur Club Competition: Oman Professional League Date: Monday, 19th October 2026 KO: 2:00 pm Pick: 1 (Al Nahda to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 54% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ticket #A8B9064E
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Head to Head
Record
7
Al Nahda
3
Draws
0
Sur Club
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Nahda won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Nahda
Metric
Sur Club
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
2.3
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-5-1
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
40%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.1%) 2-0(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Nahda
Overall
5.5 ▲
Scoring
4.3 ▲
Defence
6.7 ▲
Sur Club
Overall
3.6 ▼
Scoring
5.3 ▼
Defence
2.3 ▼
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.03.26FAC
Al Nahda3
Sur Club2
17.03.26DIV
Sur Club1
Al Nahda1
11.01.26SC
Al Nahda4
Sur Club2
03.01.26SC
Sur Club0
Al Nahda2
29.10.25DIV
Al Nahda4
Sur Club2
07.03.25DIV
Al Nahda1
Sur Club1
15.09.24DIV
Sur Club0
Al Nahda1
04.04.24DIV
Al Nahda1
Sur Club1
19.10.23SC
Al Nahda1
Sur Club0
07.10.23DIV
Sur Club2
Al Nahda3
Recent Form
Al Nahda
14.10.26CL2
Al Faisaly Amman2
Al Nahda0
L
02.10.26FAC
Al Nahda2
Sohar1
W
25.09.26FAC
Ibri0
Al Nahda0
D
21.09.26FAC
Al Nahda1
Saham1
D
16.09.26CL2
Al Nahda1
Al Taawon1
D
10.09.26DIV
Al Nahda1
Al Seeb1
D
05.09.26DIV
Al Shabab2
Al Nahda3
W
30.08.26DIV
Al Nahda1
Al Msnaa0
W
24.08.26FAC
Al Shabab1
Al Nahda1
D
19.08.26FAC
Al Nahda3
Al Msnaa1
W
Sur Club
10.10.26DIV
Saham1
Sur Club0
L
24.09.26FAC
Oman Club1
Sur Club2
W
20.09.26FAC
Sur Club3
Al Samail1
W
11.09.26DIV
Sur Club1
Bahla3
L
06.09.26DIV
Al Seeb2
Sur Club0
L
31.08.26DIV
Sur Club2
Al Shabab3
L
24.08.26FAC
Fanja SC2
Sur Club2
D
18.08.26FAC
Sur Club0
Bahla5
L
23.05.26DIV
Sur Club3
Sohar3
D
18.05.26DIV
Oman Club2
Sur Club3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this Oman Professional League game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 1 at @1.39, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 55. Kick-off is 2:00 pm.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 19 Oct 2026
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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Nahda vs Sur Club?
Our selection is 1 — Al Nahda to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Al Nahda's current form?
Al Nahda have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sur Club been performing recently?
Sur Club have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Nahda lead with 7 wins versus Sur Club's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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