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WON Tip WON Seoul W 0-3 Suwon FC W
S

Seoul W

Home
L L W W L
4W 0D 6L → Steady
VS
0-3
11:00 am
N/A
S
Suwon FC W
Away
W W L W W
8W 0D 2L ▼ Declining
Friday, 10th July 2026 Selection
2
Backing Suwon FC W to win
Seoul W 20%
Draw 30%
Suwon FC W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob66.7%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-7.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #1EDB5DAC
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 11 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Suwon FC W to win
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Seoul W vs Suwon FC W Competition: South Korea WK League Date: Friday, 10th July 2026 KO: 11:00 am Pick: 2 (Suwon FC W to win) Odds: 1.50 Confidence: 59% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ticket #1EDB5DAC
Head to Head
Record
3
Seoul W
2
Draws
5
Suwon FC W
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Suwon FC W won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Seoul W
Metric
Suwon FC W
0.9
Goals For / Game
3
1.8
Goals Against / Game
0.7
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
4-0-6
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate
40%
80%
3.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 9.8%
0-2 11.7%
0-3 9.4%
0-4 5.6%
0-5 2.7%
S1
1-0 3.3%
1-1 7.8%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 7.5%
1-4 4.5%
1-5 2.2%
S2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 3.1%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.9%
S3
3-0 0.4%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(11.7%) 0-1(9.8%) 0-3(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Seoul W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Suwon FC W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Seoul W
Overall
4.0
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.0
Suwon FC W
Overall
8.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 50%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.07.26WKL
Seoul W0
Suwon FC3
04.04.26WKL
Suwon FC W2
Seoul1
18.09.25WKL
Suwon FC W1
Seoul2
23.06.25WKL
Seoul W1
Suwon FC1
12.05.25WKL
Suwon FC W1
Seoul3
10.04.25WKL
Seoul W3
Suwon FC2
29.08.24WKL
Suwon FC W2
Seoul0
27.06.24WKL
Seoul W5
Suwon FC6
06.05.24WKL
Suwon FC W4
Seoul1
25.03.24WKL
Seoul W1
Suwon FC1
Recent Form
Seoul W
01.07.26WKL
Seoul W0
Suwon FC W3
L
20.06.26WKL
Seoul W1
Gyeongju W3
L
17.06.26WKL
Seoul W2
Mungyeong Sangmu W1
W
13.06.26WKL
Gangjin Swans W1
Seoul W2
W
31.05.26WKL
Sejong Sportstoto W3
Seoul W1
L
27.05.26WKL
Seoul W2
Incheon Hyundai Steel W1
W
08.05.26WKL
Hwacheon W1
Seoul W0
L
05.05.26WKL
Gyeongju W0
Seoul W1
W
02.05.26WKL
Mungyeong Sangmu W3
Seoul W0
L
24.04.26WKL
Seoul W0
Gangjin Swans W2
L
Suwon FC W
07.07.26WKL
Hwacheon W1
Suwon FC W2
W
01.07.26WKL
Seoul W0
Suwon FC W3
W
26.06.26WKL
Suwon FC W1
Gyeongju W2
L
20.06.26WKL
Mungyeong Sangmu W0
Suwon FC W2
W
17.06.26WKL
Gangjin Swans W1
Suwon FC W6
W
12.06.26WKL
Suwon FC W6
Sejong Sportstoto W0
W
30.05.26WKL
Incheon Hyundai Steel W0
Suwon FC W4
W
20.05.26CLW
Naegohyang W2
Suwon FC W1
L
09.05.26WKL
Gyeongju W0
Suwon FC W2
W
05.05.26WKL
Mungyeong Sangmu W1
Suwon FC W3
W
Seoul W (Home)
01.07.26WKL
Seoul W0
Suwon FC W3
L
20.06.26WKL
Seoul W1
Gyeongju W3
L
17.06.26WKL
Seoul W2
Mungyeong Sangmu W1
W
27.05.26WKL
Seoul W2
Incheon Hyundai Steel W1
W
24.04.26WKL
Seoul W0
Gangjin Swans W2
L
17.04.26WKL
Seoul W2
Sejong Sportstoto W1
W
08.11.25WKL
Seoul W2
Hwacheon W3
L
01.11.25WKL
Seoul W0
Incheon Hyundai Steel W0
D
29.09.25WKL
Seoul W2
Sejong Sportstoto W0
W
15.09.25WKL
Seoul W2
Mungyeong Sangmu W0
W
Suwon FC W (Away)
07.07.26WKL
Hwacheon W1
Suwon FC W2
W
01.07.26WKL
Seoul W0
Suwon FC W3
W
20.06.26WKL
Mungyeong Sangmu W0
Suwon FC W2
W
17.06.26WKL
Gangjin Swans W1
Suwon FC W6
W
30.05.26WKL
Incheon Hyundai Steel W0
Suwon FC W4
W
20.05.26CLW
Naegohyang W2
Suwon FC W1
L
09.05.26WKL
Gyeongju W0
Suwon FC W2
W
05.05.26WKL
Mungyeong Sangmu W1
Suwon FC W3
W
22.04.26WKL
Sejong Sportstoto W2
Suwon FC W3
W
17.04.26WKL
Incheon Hyundai Steel W2
Suwon FC W1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Professional betting is not glamorous. There is no inside information, no secret line to the dressing room — just the same analytical graft on every fixture you consider, and the discipline to know when the price is worth taking and when it is not. For this South Korea WK League game, the work says the price is worth taking, and here is the full picture.

The home side comes in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, which is public and already baked into the line. The layer most casual bettors skip is the texture of those recent home matches. Have they been creating quality chances that the scoreline reflects, or grinding out results against the run of play? The quality behind the recent results tells you whether this is a team that deserves its price or one that has been riding its luck — and N/A usually settles that argument.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, the most useful single data point for projecting how they perform away from home. Travelling sides carry their recent momentum — good or bad — into each successive away day, and it tends to take a significant event to break an established pattern.

With both ends assessed, our position is 2 at @1.50, which we have run through the full process and rate at around 20,30,50%. Kick-off is 11:00 am.

That is the recommendation, backed by the graft behind it. Do not miss the rest of today’s tips on the site — the professional edge is built one disciplined read at a time, not from a single lucky line.

 

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 11 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Seoul W vs Suwon FC W?
Our selection is 2 — Suwon FC W to win, priced at approximately 1.50. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Seoul W's current form?
Seoul W have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Suwon FC W been performing recently?
Suwon FC W have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Seoul W lead with 3 wins versus Suwon FC W's 5, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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