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LOST Tip LOST Poland W 0-2 France W
P

Poland W

Home
L L L D W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
0-2
F
France W
Away
D L W W D
4W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
Friday, 5th June 2026 Selection
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob71.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+9.1%Value detected
Kelly %32.3%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #C55CB4AA
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 6 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals74% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Poland W vs France W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Friday, 5th June 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 81% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (74%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ticket #C55CB4AA
Head to Head
Record
0
Poland W
0
Draws
4
France W
4
Meetings
4.5
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 75% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Poland W
Metric
France W
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-2-4
W — D — L
4-3-2
Win Rate
40%
44%
3.5
Avg Goals
79%
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
P0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 6.0%
0-2 5.7%
0-3 3.6%
0-4 1.7%
0-5 0.7%
P1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 5.6%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
P2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
P3
3-0 2.0%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
P4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
P5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(9.4%) 1-2(8.9%) 2-1(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Poland W
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.3
France W
Overall
5.4
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.2
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.03.26WC
France W4
Poland1
25.10.13FI
France W6
Poland0
24.08.11FI
France W2
Poland0
19.11.10FI
France W5
Poland0
Recent Form
Poland W
18.04.26WC
Ireland W1
Poland W0
L
14.04.26WC
Poland W2
Ireland W3
L
07.03.26WC
France W4
Poland W1
L
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands W2
D
02.12.25FI
Poland W3
Latvia W0
W
28.11.25FI
Poland W1
Slovenia W0
W
28.10.25FI
Wales W2
Poland W5
W
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands W0
D
12.07.25EUR
Poland W3
Denmark W2
W
08.07.25EUR
Poland W0
Sweden W3
L
France W
18.04.26WC
France W1
Netherlands W1
D
14.04.26WC
Netherlands W2
France W1
L
07.03.26WC
France W4
Poland W1
W
03.03.26WC
Ireland W1
France W2
W
02.12.25UNL
Sweden W2
France W2
D
28.11.25UNL
France W2
Sweden W1
W
28.10.25UNL
France W2
Germany W2
D
24.10.25UNL
Germany W1
France W0
L
13.07.25EUR
Netherlands W2
France W5
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Euro WCQ Women fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is Over 2.5, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.39 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 6 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Poland W vs France W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is Poland W's current form?
Poland W have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has France W been performing recently?
France W have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Poland W lead with 0 wins versus France W's 4, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
⚠️
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