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WON Tip WON Criciuma U20 3-0 Joinville U20
C

Criciuma U20

Home
W D D L W
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
J
Joinville U20
Away
W L L L L
2W 2D 6L ▲ Improving
Friday, 5th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Criciuma U20 to win
Criciuma U20 50%
Draw 30%
Joinville U20 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob73.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-23.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
TICKET #48DBF542
BD
Written & reviewed by BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst · Last checked 6 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Driven ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Criciuma U20 to win
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Criciuma U20 vs Joinville U20 Competition: Brazil Catarinense U20 Date: Friday, 5th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Criciuma U20 to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ticket #48DBF542
Head to Head
Record
3
Criciuma U20
0
Draws
1
Joinville U20
4
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Criciuma U20 won 3 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Criciuma U20
Metric
Joinville U20
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.2
Goals Against / Game
2.2
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-4-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
30%
20%
3.1
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
C0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.6%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 8.3%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
C2
2-0 7.7%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
C3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(8.3%) 2-0(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Criciuma U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Joinville U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Criciuma U20
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
Joinville U20
Overall
2.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.07.25CAT
Joinville U201
Criciuma U200
27.04.25CAT
Criciuma U205
Joinville U200
15.06.24CAT
Joinville U201
Criciuma U202
17.04.24CAT
Criciuma U203
Joinville U201
Recent Form
Criciuma U20
02.06.26CAT
Brusque U200
Criciuma U204
W
27.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Bahia U201
D
23.05.26CAT
Criciuma U200
Carlos Renaux U200
D
20.05.26BRA
Sao Paulo U203
Criciuma U200
L
16.05.26BRA
Criciuma U202
Fluminense U200
W
13.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Fortaleza U202
L
09.05.26CAT
Chapecoense-SC U200
Criciuma U203
W
06.05.26BRA
Athletico-PR U201
Criciuma U201
D
02.05.26CAT
Criciuma U201
Avai U201
D
29.04.26BRA
RB Bragantino U204
Criciuma U202
L
Joinville U20
29.05.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U200
Joinville U201
W
27.05.26CAT
Joinville U200
Barra FC U202
L
09.05.26CAT
Avai U203
Joinville U200
L
05.05.26CAT
Joinville U200
Brusque U202
L
25.04.26CAT
Joinville U202
Chapecoense-SC U203
L
19.04.26CAT
Nacao U204
Joinville U204
D
13.04.26CAT
Figueirense U203
Joinville U200
L
07.04.26CAT
Joinville U202
Concordia U202
D
02.08.25CAT
Joinville U201
Barra FC U202
L
26.07.25CAT
Concordia U201
Joinville U203
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Securing a profitable edge in sports betting demands a surgical look at the data, and this Brazil Catarinense U20 fixture offers the perfect setup for calculated punters. To navigate these markets safely, one must ignore the hype and let the underlying stats dictate the play. The home side’s baseline is our starting point.

Their broader form anchors the odds, but the most actionable intel is found in the short term. Breaking down their recent outings gives us an unvarnished view of their current offensive rhythm and their overall defensive reliability. The away team requires a really balanced assessment.

We must weigh their season-long form against the sudden shifts in their latest games to establish if they are being undervalued by the bookies. Past encounters cannot be ignored either, as they often dictate the tempo of the game. The head-to-head data is essential for identifying tactical dominance or mental hurdles that the odds-makers miss.

Merging this historical context with current momentum provides a robust pick for the match. Taking everything into consideration, the smartest path is clear. Our standout choice is 1, representing the absolute best value, especially when looking at the @1.36 odds on offer.

As the match shifts to kickoff, the work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and validate the numbers. Be sure to check our other daily predictions.

BD
BettingProfessional1x2 Editorial Desk
Senior Football Analyst
Reviews statistical models against historical results before every tip is published. Cross-checks head-to-head and form data with independent sources.
Reviewed on 6 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Criciuma U20 vs Joinville U20?
Our selection is 1 — Criciuma U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Criciuma U20's current form?
Criciuma U20 have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Joinville U20 been performing recently?
Joinville U20 have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Criciuma U20 lead with 3 wins versus Joinville U20's 1, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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